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Hes only at 257 electoral votes. hes 13 short. he needs some combination of these. co-do it with wisconsin and vau. that puts him over the top. you see the key there is going to be wisconsin right there in the middle because if he doesnt win ohio, and wins florida, wins virginia, hes probably going to need to have to win wisconsin. while we talked about the importance of the midwest winning two of those three states. if we also take you back now and look, if president obama can win without flori...

And north carolina. then, you take the swing states hes already ahead in -- florida, colorado and virginia that. puts him at 257-- let me stop you there. thats 3, 3 and 4. thats not like a huge margin. >> it is, the incumbents said 44 or 45. thats a 10-point margin. >> sean: no, i am saying the polls are 3 -- >> when its 48-45, you win it 54. >> sean: listen, i dont count votes until they are in -- until fox news projects -- i dont assume anything. >> you know what, if i didnt count votes unti...

248, 271, colorado and even if he gets colorado. look at that, hes at 257. wisconsin, 267 and you can swap wisconsin for iowa. its why the midwest is so important and why it is so key for mitt romney to win two of those three midwestern states and if president obama gets ohio you can see how difficult the path becomes for romney and how it can go for president obama. >> domenica, whats the one state that will keep us up all night come election day. >> well, you know, weve talked a lot about flor...

And north carolina. then, you take the swing states hes already ahead in -- florida, colorado and virginia that. puts him at 257-- let me stop you there. thats 3, 3 and 4. thats not like a huge margin. >> it is, the incumbents said 44 or 45. thats a 10-point margin. >> sean: no, i am saying the polls are 3 -- >> when its 48-45, you win it 54. >> sean: listen, i dont count votes until they are in -- until fox news projects -- i dont assume anything. >> you know what, if i didnt count votes unti...

>> brian: spray my stuff down with raidd. mr. 1: happy too on. latest polls show romney falling behind president obama and they may not matter. >> gretchen: there is another way he believes that romney can win without the buck eye state. lay it out for us. we hear how ohio goes goes the election. >> first of all that poll is not accurate. the polls that i trust and look at show ohio as a dead tie and show romney gaining than falling back. the obsession is misplaced. clearwater politics put 206 v...

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Now youre at 257. of remaining states on the map here they have gone back and forth over the past 12 years, exempt for nevada. bush won nevada in 2000. he also won in 2004. if you make argument republican states come home. look where mitt romney is is at 263. president obama gets pennsylvania, 20, 18 in ohio. he is now at 239. you see where governor romney has to go if he does not win ohio. based on this scenario you have to either take new hampshire and iowa. or, you have to take wisconsin. wha...

Could be this $49 million spent by obama. and how early the obama ground organization was there. it could be that certainly the velocity in michigan and pennsylvania is faster and even in minnesota, as well, than in ohio. that could mean he could make a different combination. >>gregg: just do point out, obama drops down to 201 from 257 and romney is up to 191. congressman, you are a real political pro, what is now being referred to by even the "washington post" as benghazi gate and the white hou...

In a fellow, there is people who cant win and those people who are thinking of voting to them and dont waste their vote, will most likely break for the governor so that gives him an advantage. thats very interesting. so the polling has written off florida, virginia, and north carolina for the governor. thats huge. >> thats right. and its true. it gives the lead to barak obama, but only 257-248. >> bill: you segueway into ohio and iowa, colorado and nevada. i would say new hampshire is going to g...

Cant win and those people who are thinking of voting to them and dont waste their vote, will most likely break for the governor so that gives him an advantage. thats very interesting. so the polling has written off florida, virginia, and north carolina for the governor. thats huge. >> thats right. and its true. it gives the lead to barak obama, but only 257-248. >> bill: you segueway into ohio and iowa, colorado and nevada. i would say new hampshire is going to go romney. i think new hampshire w...