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We talk a lot on this program about how donald trumps electoral college path to the white house is narrow, like it would be for any republican. but there are two scenarios. we call the first scenario the new hampshire scenario. trump would have to win north carolina, ohio, florida, plus iowa and neva, and if he won all of those, it would put him over the state. that gets him to exactly 270. so the big five, plus new hampshire, and that one in maine. the other paths more simple. trump wins the bi...

James comey does not know what is in these e-mails and thats the point. i want to get your take on the fact that you have donald trump campaigning in michigan and other states traditionally left leaning. what is his strategy there and just 8 days left in the campaign, secretary clinton still has a lead in most polls. is that a smart strategy right now or does he just need to focus on shoring up 270 electoral votes? >> i think its a great strategy to go after people like the reagan democrats who ...

Friday. >> popularity news and enthusiasm matters, but what matters most is battleground states. lets look at the polls there. >> now, stephanie, its important to note that our polls, the nbc/"wall street journal"/marist polls of florida and north carolina were conducted before this big comey news but they showed hillary clinton with a six-point lead in north carolina. thats significant because those 15 electoral votes, stephanie, could make it very difficult for donald trump to be able to get t...

Battlegrounds matter. florida may matter most of all. trump certainly has to win it in order to have a real path to 270. some voters in the must-win state say theyre exhausted by all the attack ads from both sides. literally sometimes five, six in a row. the latest two polls in florida show what? this. a tight race. a "new york times" poll has trump with a lead of four points and nbc "wall street journal" poll gives clinton a one-point edge. focusing a lot of time and money there. lets bring in ...

Trump at 45%. gary johnson at 4%, jill stein at 2%, thats a tracking poll, just one point tighter than it was the day before the fbi news but it is 11 points tighter than the same poll was this time last week. the big difference being enthusiasm and who is likely to vote. will clinton and trump adapt their game plans in these final days of the campaign? cnn political director david challion is here to break down the path to victory. >> the very first place well look to see the impact of the emai...

A michigan or wisconsin or new mexico. they can pick one of those states and put all their chips in that state but i think its smart to spread it out. keep in mind, this is all without any data. because the last data that you get out of the field was last thursday. and on thursday, obviously was a big day but friday was an enormous day that maybe scrambled the entire map. its hard to poll in one night. today is halloween. no polling today. then they get polls tomorrow night late and so a lot of ...

Trump every benefit of the doubt on the popular vote within the battleground states, the electoral college, its still very hard to see him getting to 270. he can get to 265 at which point who wants to bet against a crazy thing? >> ill say the same thing i said last week, isnt it too early to say? we have got swing state polls tied in colorado basically within the margin of error. tied in arizona within the margin of error. tide in north carolina within the margin of error and tied in all of thes...

Supporter who values national security, we are seeing that the system is rigged against us. >> you are referring to information by the clinton campaign. they said thats not the case, but we will have to leave it here. nice to see you. appreciate your time. a programming note, trump campaign manager kellyanne conway will join chris matthews at 7:00 p.m. eastern time. how the e-mail review is working down ballot and which are feeling the heat. why the candidates travel current plans show how each ...

Basically, you had one of many that were rapidly closing their doors. >> out of the hundreds of tech company ipos that existed by 1999, only one in six would still be in existence two years later. whoever wins the presidential election is destined to inherit the fallout of the dot-com bubble. but a clear winner has yet to emerge. >> its already clear here at 7:30 eastern time in new york that the road to 270 electoral votes for either george w. bush or al gore will be long and torturous before...

Their hand? ive been talking to folks saying, we want donald trump to talk about the issues, not just this e-mail issue. >> reporter: i think there is a sense its a winning issue but not the exclusive of donald trumps remarks. im told by aides hell talk about not just e-mail issue but obamacare and a real bonus point they can take advantage of. i can tell you they also expect trump to talk about trade and the economy, issues of a real concern to folks here in and around detroit, specifically. it...