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Republicans trying to keep control of congress, than it is for donald trump. most of the voters who are rejecting trump are doing so not on the basis of policy but on the basis of character, questions of the national identity. >> you really put a pin in my balloon. >> for another republican candidate, if you imagine a parallel universe where john kasich or marco rubio is the candidate, this would be devastating for hillary clinton. but its hard to counteract what people think about your characte...

Now we dont just ask who you are voting for, but why. you see something that is striking. one reason donald trump is still in the race. hard climb, but still in the race, is because he leads when asked which candidate do you trust more to handle the economy. other issues, narrowly on immigration or terrorism. and then hillary clinton said donald trump is unfit to be president of the united states. she has a 29 point advantage when voters are asked who has the best temperament to be president. th...

Whos resisting calls to spend money in florida because they believe that race could be unwinnable and very expensive. a lot of debate on both sides that could make all the difference for a new senate. >> of course all the difference for everyone in this country. mandate or not. florida very much in play. crucial for both candidates. david chalion is "outfront" in washington. and it could all come down to florida. >> reporter: this is the mother of all battlegrounds. 29 electoral votes. look at t...

Based on popular vote, i am going to the trump rally today, and he can make up traction on the obamacare rates, and its very hard to see how he gets to that 270. >> mike? >> i think there are three elements still alive and active. one is turnout. what is the turnout going to be after the dreadful campaign? many voters listening to this daily. and the second is voter saw pressure suppression.

Now, external polls are showing actuallyclipten up comfortably, but i saw a poll last night from an independent pollster that had it much closer. >> and they have arizona, utah, and georgia as locked in for trump. on msnbc yesterday, campaign manager kellyanne conway said there are hidden clues to detecting their path to 270. >> when you look at the electoral map, watch and see where we deploy our major assets, governor pence, mr. trump, our paid media campaign, other opportunities we have, our ...

Primary. we have a tight race going down. im going to break down where we are. were in a great place heading into the final 14 days. >> if the polls continue to look where they are today or if they get worse, is there a point where you turn the spigot off and say -- >> what im going to continue to look at is data and votes and voters. >> polls are data. >> no, they arent. theyre a snapshot or a sample -- >> data is a snapshot. >> votes count. when you look at whos returning an early vote or an a...

Im playing around here with my own map. 270 to win. you can give trump florida. you can give him ohio. you can keep north carolina as a toss-up state. you give her pennsylvania, where shes up, way ahead. new hampshire, give her those. keep arizona and utah for trump. ive got her at 278. by the way, shes ahead in florida. shes ahead in north carolina. shes even ahead in ohio. you know, even if you were to take away wisconsin, shes still on the cusp of winning. so theres so many ways for her to wi...

Hillary clinton in that there are more -- the gap between democrats and republicans who are voting is larger or is smaller than it was in 2012, which means there are more democrat who is are voting early, which they see as a potential positive sign for hillary clinton because the reality is mitt romney lost this state narrowly. this was the closest contest in 2012. so far donald trump is not matching where romney was in the early vote. that doesnt bode well for his chances of getting 270 elector...

But i think kellyanne is right when she says you want to know our path? heres our path, its winning all of the romney states plus, florida, north carolina, iowa, ohio, nevada, new hampshire, and the one congressional district in maine. if they did all of that, that would be 270 electoral votes but thats a tall order. thats sweeping the board of every contested race out there right now. >> let me hone back in on florida because obamacare, were talking about it, the premiums, the report came out p...

And ive been endorsed largely, concept actually at least, by the military and by the vets. weve had tremendous veteran endorsements. the veterans have been treated so unfairly in this country. >> to dispel the notion an electoral college victory is slipping from donald trumps reach his campaign distributed this battleground map designating michigan, wisconsin, and virginia, states trending toward clinton, as toss-ups. arizona, utah, and georgia, tight in recent polls, are locked in for trump. on...