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Battleground states. has the road map to 270 changed? plus, trump needs to win wo women voters. some calling for the repeal of the 19th amendment. is this a joke? well take a look. next. ♪ approaching medicare eligibility? you may think you can put off checking out your medicare options until youre sixty-five, but now is a good time to get the ball rolling. keep in mind, medicare only covers about eighty percent of part b medical costs. the rest is up to you. thats where aarp medicare supple...

Four-way. a nine-point lead in a state clearly one leaning her direction. why? this is where you really see the fallout, jake, from a story like the "access hollywood" tape and now the allegations. look at suburban philadelphia voters. 56% for hillary clinton in this poll. 28% for donald trump. that is an enormous gap. that 28-point lead among suburbanites makes pennsylvania nearly unwinnable for donald trump. and we have two brand-new polls out this hour, just moments ago, more contested states...

>> well, the campaign is with donald trump, you know, flailing a bit here. and clearly, knocked back on his heels, clearly on defense and closing off paths to 270 electoral votes. thats where we are in the campaign today. thats not a projection of where we will be 26 days from now. but listen, you know, kate and john, you look at the map as much as i do if not more, part of donald trumps mission to win the white house is trying to convert some democratic-leaning territory into his corner. thats ...

Registration in different states. youve got specifically data on who has voted already. >> thats exactly right. >> show me. >> essentially what we said is what you said. the campaign is already under way. were going have a lot of people voting. maybe up to 40 million people voting before election day. and what we have here is the first essentially half million votes that have already been cast. and so what we see, what we picked here is the number of battleground states, states that we know clin...

Obviously this wave of allegations about trump specifically cant help but where is he in terms of expanding his base? if he was expanding his base we would see it in this pennsylvania poll senior but we dont. we see hillary clinton actually increasing her margin in pennsylvania. if donald trump was adding voters to his coalition right now we would see it in a place like pennsylvania, or in michigan. thats not happening. thats why hes just blockading himself with a very, very difficult road to ...

Just -- virginia used to be a bedrock republican state. barack obama obviously has won it twice. its really a state that donald trump needed to win. any republican needs to win if theyre going to get to 270. it looks like the trump campaign is pulling out of there now. that certainly makes the math a lot worse because youve got to take pennsylvania off the map now. youve got to take virginia off the map now. and, boy, that path to 270 -- again, he can still get there, but it gets a lot tougher w...

The accusations and debate and impact it would have, looks like a push. pennsylvania poll numbers about the same and trump doing better in missouri this month than he was last month. >> in our poll good news for trump before the latest round of accusations on both sides is he did better in the poll after our debate than before. people greatly troubled by the "access hollywood" video. they long thought it was their best shot to get to 270. they dont think that anymore in part because what you are...

Welcome back to "the lead." were going to continue with politics and take a detailed look at each candidates path to 270. last week the numbers leaned barely in favor of clinton. we could see just enough states for her to win election day with 272 electoral votes. that was before the second debate, before trumps explosive "access hollywood" tape, before he started a war within the republican party. to be clear, it was also before clinton started facing more of her own struggles. specifically sto...

Narrowly, and if they either florida or north carolina, they can totally block any path that donald trump would have to 270 electoral of course. the basic thing is they have many options to get to 270, donald trump has few. now when you have polls like this coming out in utah, georgia, arizona, you have major super-pacs backing the presidential election thinking about playing in the senate race, because they feel like they can go on offense. heading into colorado, nevada, two days obama won, tha...

Theirs. on an arithmetic and demographic basis, a delivered strategy to depress turnout hoping for that outcome simply wont work in a presidential campaign. the democrats have very sophisticated, very elaborate campaign strategies to badger, harass, and turn out their voters. democratic voters will be turning out to the polls, and while this race is a grotesquery, it is a stain on our civic life and it is something the country will have to recover from, voters are not going to not turn out in su...