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Nbc of likely voters in ohio. what does that tell us? >> i have long believed, we have talked about this, the state polls are the thing to focus on. >> you always maintained that. >> they have the best idea in terms of their sample, women, minorities, the demographics of those states. the other key things in those battleground states is if you take a look at the early vote numbers and you start to see how hard it will be for mitt romney to get to 270 because in most of those early battleground s...

>> i think virginia is very very, close, chuck. i think you could argue that virginia is one of the two or three closest states in the country right now. its funny to have a panel of florida, ohio and virginia. florida and ohio are used to this attention. they get it every four years. we used to be the bulgaria of american politics and now weve turned into the paris. or thats how we feel. i would say on the whole, having talked to both sides repeatedly, they both insist that theyre trackings sho...

Pennsylvania and michigan and minnesota are not past the 270 as mr. axelrod would like to report. >>chris: you predict over 300 electoral votes. >>guest: it will be a big win for governor romney. chris thank you on your first national tv interview. we will see how the turn out battle goes and whether it turns out as well as you think it will be. >>chris: we will drill down on which states are truly undecided and the best chance for each side to get an up expected win.

A small sliver of the electorate swreesm a small lead. thats why mitt romney is looking desperately for 270 electoral votes because hes notified -- finding them. the president is making the final argument on the stump. new hampshire, biggest political event in new hampshires history, talking about the past four years, digging out the greatest recession since the great depression, 5.4 million jobs have been created, manufacturing is growing, g.m. is back, housing prices up up and foreclosures are...

Simpson-bowles. a balanced approach. the other guy says no revenue increases. keep the hardened position. >> look, the comment -- >> the president made a grand bargain in 2008. he has a pitch now. he had a pitch then. the pitch was im going to put the country in debt and get the economy going. he got a four-year shot. it didnt happen. >> no, no. the reduction you have in the unemployment rate is obviously -- >> let me go to a break and well come back. well have more from our roundtable. well als...

He has because hes also gone to new hampshire a couple of times and hes closing there. florida and virginia and ohio dont get him to 270. the state of new hampshire would get him to 270. and even if its florida, virginia and pennsylvania, he still needs two more going in. now lets go through the poll closing business here, by 9:00 p.m. polls will have closed here t and heres the way to look at it. if, say, at 7:00, virginia is too close to call, thats not good news for romney. you have the feeli...

About. so when youve got 34r, he needs all these states. he needs florida, he needs virginia, he needs colorado, and he needs new hampshire and this is a way to do it without ohio. thats the one piece of good news. what if he cant get a wisconsin? wisconsin would put him over the top. whats his fastest way to get there? you put ohio back over here and he could do it then without colorado and without iowa. so his fastest way to 270 would be florida, virginia, ohio and new hampshire. so theres a w...

This is still a little uphill, i think. >> gregg: lets put the real clear politic electoral map up. its unchanged from the last time that we looked at it. president obama is at 201. romney at 191. you got to have 270. no real change. >> gregg that, is exactly right. but if you look at the individual polls in the yellow states which are the states that are undeclared. >> gregg: thats where obama has an edge? >> he has an edge in iowa, an edge in minnesota. he has an edge in wisconsin. most of all...

Into steal what little they have left. >> reporter: even though a great deal of more has been made restoring electricity to manhattan, here in staten island there are tens of thousands of people who are in the dark. heather, unfortunately they are probably going to remain the dark for several days, possibly more than a week. one of the main reasons for that is they rely on overhead lines for their electricity. getting crews here a very difficult task. >> heather: shame on those people that would...

Most polls ippedicate the president is ahead there. but the romney people are arguing that they are missing this republican enthusiasm that has been animated by the great debate and a lot of work . if that is true, there will be an examplation - examination of the methodology of national polls that were taken there. but he will have to put together the 270 electorial votes and he will need to win most of the other major competitive state. wisconsin, and nevada, and obviously florida and virginia...