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Poll stephanie was just talking about. 24, so compared to polls a week or two ago, donald trump looks like hes in better shape. lets go back in time a little bit. mitt romney got 73% of the vote in utah, four years ago. what does that say about conservative support for donald trump. lets go back again, 2008, john mccain got 63%. even in a big democratic year, john mccain got 63%. whats that say about donald trumps conservative support? its a warning sign in utah, and the question is, whats the t...

House with 271 electoral votes. one extra, one to spare. most people think if donald trump can pull this off, thats what well end, donald trump winning with 271, 272, 273. not a blowout. well, then you might have six, goes to evan mcmullin, he doesnt get there. is that a dream scenario? maybe. but donald trump is trying to mount what would be an epic historical comeback. he cant afford to lose those six. just cant. >> john, thanks very much. rejoining the panel, does utah worry you? >> no. no, n...

Schedule says as we saw in the electoral map, shes got a pretty close to a lock on 272 and theres 87 votes up for grabs. no reason to take a lot of risk at this point. i think the goal is to prevent any kind of surprise upset by trump in some of the rust belt states where his message has oftentimes resonated the most. i think having a conservative defensive strategy at least for this part of the weekend makes to me a lot of sense, particularly when trump was gaining momentum and i think that now...

They are almost to the finish line. donald trump cracked any of this? not yet. new hampshire is not part of the blue wall. george w. bush won it once. lets look at the three states trump hopes to crack. michigan, pennsylvania and wisconsin. here is michigan 2012. back here to 2012. obama won by nine points. shes up seven points. let me bring the map back so i can get the pennsylvania. bring this down a little bit. there was a five point race. she has a five point lead so there is no evidence don...

Right now, 272 for clinton, 179 for trump. let me tap here and come here. donald trumps leading in nevada. if he can keep that, and leading in arizona, donald trump leading in ohio if he can keep they, that would get him up to 215. this is hypothetical, but logical to think if donald trump is building support in the west maybe hes building it up enough to get past that never-trump conservative evan mcmull in in utah. it gets him to 220, which is why were going to go to the final days of the camp...

States equaling 272 electoral votes. if she doesnt drop from that at all, shes the next president of the united states. but heres what they fear and the worst possible case here could go wrong, the clinton campaign does, and that is that every one of these toss-up states, the gray states on the map, lets say donald trump were to sweep them, run the table, win all the toss-up states here in the final week. iowa red, this congressional district and lets say if trump took nevada and arizona, these ...

How do things look right now state to state? joining us now from his magic wall is steve kornacki. steve, thank you so much for being with us. will you take our mind off the national polling number and give us a look state by state at how things are shaping up right now? >> yeah, sure. we got a whole bunch of brand-new state polls today. we can take you through the battle for 270. what we want to focus on right here is what for the clinton campaign they hope is their ultimate firewall. if everyt...

Like for the clinton campaign. we have hillary clinton in states equaling 272 electoral votes. if she doesnt drop from that at all, shes the next president of the united states. but heres what they fear and the worst possible case here could go wrong, the clinton campaign does, and that is that every one of these toss-up states, the gray states on the map, lets say donald trump were to sweep them, run the table, win all the toss-up states here in the final week. iowa red, this congressional dist...

You are over 270. you have to hold on to that. if donald trump -- and this is a huge if, i cant stress that enough. if donald trump were to win the states that look like toss ups, that wasnt supposed to happen. if he were to win north carolina, florida, ohio, we should have a scoreboard,but the point im trying to make, if donald trump were to win everything that is a toss up right now, the electoral college scoreboard would be 272 for clinton and 266 for donald trump, donald trump would still ne...

States. hillary clinton, our projections say she is in good shape in states equalling 272 electoral votes. even if trump won every undecided state on this map right now, hillary clinton would still be over 270. if you are donald trump and the trump campaign, thgz to winning all the toss upstates and that is a big hurdle, in addition you have to find in the next eight days, one state on this map, at least one state that right now is solid blue and you have to flip it. you have eight days to do it...