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Year was plus 14. kerry didnt end up as the president, bush did. its not always dispositive of what is going to come out. let me give you another number, and that may be a better indication of momentum. the real clear politics average of all the polls recently. it shows literally down to the 10th of a point a flat-footed tie. 46.4% for obama. 46.4% for romney. the obama number is coming down, the romney number is coming up. they meet at 46.4, and if you look back the last couple of weeks, bill, ...

It really could not be tighter. 46.4% for president obama in average of all the polls right now. 46.3% for governor romney. and you know a recent piece on abc talked about, how the president may in some ways be his own worst enemy. what he talked about the last time around in terms of hope and change set up many of the people who were supportive of him for some disillusion mane and disappointment. how do you talk to those people in a frank, honest say way and say were not where we ought to be ri...

gunned down. the supreme court begins hearing arguments this morning as 26 states challenge president obamas health care overhaul. at the heart of the debate? whether the individual insurance mandate is constitutional. and president obama is joining lead errs of more than 50 nations in seoul, south korea this morning for the 2012 nuclear security summit. the president kicking things off with a stinging warning to north korea. a developing story from afghanistan. nato officials sa...

Jpmorgan speaking from tokyo. well the tsunami and earthquakes effects are far from over. many fell to its lowest levt level in nearly a decade. we want to show you pmi, purchasing managers index there. the pmi fell to 46.4 down from 52.9 in the previous month. anything below 50 indicates contraction. carmakers have been hit especially hard. carmakers like toyota. toyota is the worlds biggest carmaker and it had to stop production at more than a dozen of its assembly plants in japan. it only g...

From cnn london, im charles hobson. >> welcome back to "world business today". >> lets take another look how european markets are moving now. around about 90 minutes into the last trading session of march and the last trading session of the first quarter of 2011. very much a mixed picture. the zurich smi edging down a third of a percent. scant gains for ftse and the dax up by about a seventh of a percent. hows it looking over there, pauli pauline? >> pretty good, charles, except for the composit...

>> theyre up six points from 46.4, but before you get excited, realize that todays numbers about the third to have the levels of a real recovery. the typical consumer confidence you see. why is this important? consumers drive the economy. they are two-thirds of gdp, two-thirds of economic activity. your mood is really, really important to the economy. i spoke to one economist about this number today, and heres what he had to say. >> were at levels one would associate with the middle of a recessi...

Christians, but also union members whose contracts gave them good friday off. but not the spring holiday. the city quickly reinstated good friday and called the name change an error. >> bret: consumer confidence is increasing slightly after a plunge in february. fox business network correspondent gerri willis has a road to recovery report on a better than expected rebound. >> good news. consumers are more confident, according to the conference boards march survey of 5,000 americans that index ju...

I think more guns, the more widespread availability of guns in movie theaters, military bases, in schools could have stopped some of these madmen before they were able to kill as many as they did. mental health is the explanation of these terrible tragedies. not availability of guns. >> all these young men were at least reportedly on some anti-depressants and seeing counselors for depression and other ailments. >> the statistics tell us approximately 46.4% of the people in the youd at some point...

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