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Here we go: L.A. County to reinstate indoor mask mandate starting Sunday, including for vaccinated people

AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez Shortly before July 4, I said I thought experts like Fauci were inching towards recommending that the vaccinated start taking precautions again but were holding off until after the holiday. Too many people were looking forward to enjoying the day maskless; it would have been demoralizing and infuriating after 150 million vaccinations for the feds to suddenly turn around at the last minute and ask them to cover up at the barbecue. It’s after July 4 now. Cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are rising in the U.S. again thanks to the B.1.617 Delta variant. And so the era of precautions has officially resumed in America’s biggest county.

Does the Delta variant mean herd immunity is now impossible?

AP Photo/Matt Marton A basic rule of epidemiology is that the more contagious a virus is, the greater the share of the population that has to be immunized from it in order to achieve herd immunity. Which makes sense. A germ that’s very transmissible will need to have nearly every vector of transmission blocked to keep it from eventually reaching an unvaccinated person. For a super-contagious virus like the one that causes measles, upwards of 95 percent of a group needs to be vaccinated to give the other five percent a reasonable shot at avoiding infection. Initially we were told that immunizing 60-70 of the population from SARS-CoV-2 might be expected to provide herd immunity. Then Fauci admitted that he had told one of his little white lies about that, that the true threshold was probably more like 75-85 percent. But that was last year, when we were still coping with the original, slower-moving version of the virus. Now we’re waist-deep in the B.1.617 “Delta” variant, whic

Has Boris Johnson learned nothing about managing Covid-19?

Has Boris Johnson learned nothing about managing Covid-19?
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