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because they have led to so much incorrect election analysis during the trump era. but i do pay very close attention to what simon rosenberg says about the polls because he is the astute political analyst who did not fall for the prediction of the so-called big red wave in the last congressional election. the red wave that didn t happen. and it s not because he ignored the polls but because he studied polling information and other data much more carefully than most other people did, and certainly more carefully than i ever could. joining us now is the person who saves me from worrying about polls. simon rosenberg, long term democratic strategist and author of hopium chronicles on substack. so simon, set us up for the year we are about to fall into, 2024, and how we re going to be bombarded with polls.