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September 3, 2018
And arizona, florida, new jersey and wisconsin have been advantage republicans. what do you make out of any of this? i think the most curious thing to me is the fact that florida is a defensive seat. almost all of the defenses, democrats have outspent the republicans but not rick scott. >> because rick scott has a ton of money to spend. i think whats interesting actually is the wisconsin. republicans, you know -- republicans think that they have a very good chance of winning wisconsin and so the...
September 3, 2018
People are most of those voters are saying, yeah, this might hurt me but im still going to stick with the president. this might have an impact on me. but those -- i think that those red state senators, those democrats who have a really strong personal brand, thats not joe donnelly, but that might be jon tester, right, they might make some inroads and say i can prove to you how this has been negative for you. i understand that you like the president, im going to work with him to mitigate the impa...
September 3, 2018
The octopus on the dining room table. hes pervasive in every district. >> its just that hard to ignore. >> its still family thanksgiving. >> pretty interesting. >> let me put up -- you talked about the investigations. theres already been a list that republicans have come up with of likely investigations. its pretty exhaustive, starting with the trump tax returns and trump family businesses to stuff in the administration, family separation issues, the epa issue, puerto rico. it could be just an i...
September 3, 2018
Life, in districts -- >> connor lamb ran at pro gun. >> sort of. >> he did. >> but connor lamb didnt have to go through a primary. no democrat will get through a primary whos shooting an ar-15 in his campaign ads. so the democratic party is different than 2006 and talking about open borders, taking away peoples tax cuts, all of that will work very well against these candidates. >> what can the republican house do in september that would at all help their incumbents? is there something they can d...
September 3, 2018
Foley who represented the 5th congressional district in washington in spokane. he lost that night and it was the symbolic loss of the night. theres some concern that cathy mcmorris rodgers is in that trap. >> there is concern about her. she doesnt seem to be as strong of a candidate as they would like her to be. and shes a member of leadership so that would be a huge loss. another race i want to pay attention to is claudia tenney in upstate new york. shes been trying to outtrump trump and aides ...
September 3, 2018
Theyre like weve got the better candidate. its amazing. usually the two parties, yeah, no, no, no, missouri is this way. the disagreement about north dakota is something else. >> yeah, and i feel like theres not a lot of data about it is part of the problem. its not -- the one on that list that i think is the most interesting to me is new jersey. new jersey shouldnt be on that list. >> its on there for one reason, the corruption of bob menendez. >> and everyone in the state of new jersey knows b...
September 3, 2018
Doing, because the infrastructure that has helped us win the majority in the house for nearly the past decade is sharp and effective. >> look, the biggest difference is george w. bush dug a hole and disappeared and tried to help out the republicans that way. this unpopular president is going straight -- >> but im going to be contrarian and taking a little bit of your side on this. whats different between this president and george bush, the base of this party sticks with this president the way th...
September 3, 2018
Making -- chipping away at the red wall out best. >> michael, in an alternative universe where hillary clinton is president, republicans are wondering if they can get 60 senate seats totally. >> they were not just red states, these are really, really red states. >> west virginia, north dakota, missouri now which is leaning more like a dakota than a swing state. >> and even some of the ones that should be a tighter contest like nelson in florida has the stench of doom about him. this is not a rac...
September 3, 2018
Do you believe that is fact? >> i dont know. impeachment will be a hard barrier to come across. republicans on the hill they say the only thing that we can get critical of the president on is if theres collusion. and not that republicans are going to matter in this process in the house component, but its going to be hard to criticize their base -- >> were talking about impeachment, not conviction. >> thats an interesting -- >> the house democrats will pass articles of impeachment. >> so you thin...
September 3, 2018
About that to me is i think theres so much certainty among democrats the answer to that question is no, republicans are a little softer. and when we asked -- we asked a similar question. we said, okay, these guilty pleas among trump associates, does that necessarily mean that trump himself could be involved? democrats are convinced, 7 in 10 say theres a direct link. only 46% of republicans say he definitely has nothing to do with this. >> there are republican who say do believe he probably did s...