Page 2 - Ballot Tests News Today

Compare that to the one you have been vilifying for 40 years, nancy pelosi after steve scalises shooting, and see if theres any comparison. >> if theres anything that goes against what you believe, your core values. i dont know. good morning, and welcome to "morning joe." its monday, november 7th, with us, we have, as you saw, former white house press secretary, robert gibbs joins us this morning. mara gay is with us. u.s. special correspondent for bbc news, katty kay joins us and presidential h...

>> and willie, a ballot test out showing democrats up by three points. really, these generic ballot tests, i really, you know, i dont know how much it means but i do know democrats are behind in generic ballot tests, very bad news but up by three, the latest. >> i see the admiral slowly pushing us up -- as that conversation ramps up. right out of the studio. my expert political analysis. going to be very close. heres the generic ballot. i mean, swung a couple points either way as this has gone a...

From nbc news on how some republican senate candidates are looking to turn the page in a fall starting with a major ad blitz. that comes as for the first time ever voters seem lukewarm, the ones who are lukewarm on sitting president joe biden, still plan to vote for his party in november. >> and weve been saying this for some time between the presidents approval ratings and the generic ballot tests, joe biden is now in the mid-40s according to gallop and other polls. >> well talk about that. a...

Can make too much of that. its not as if robson is answering liz cheneys rather poignant question from the end of the hearing last night in the affirmative. robson is not criticizing donald trump. she said the 2020 election was not fair, and in that sense, she is kind of mirroring i think what has happened to so many figures in the republican establishment who have chosen not to confront what donald trump is doing. the most they will do is not echo it, not second it, but they are not calling it ...

A crossroads for the party in arizona. but i think in another sense you can make too much of that. its not as if robson is answering liz cheneys rather poignant question from the end of the hearing last night in the affir affirmative. robson is not criticizing donald trump. she said the 2020 election was not fair, and in that sense, she is kind of mirroring i think what has happened to so many figures in the republican establishment who have chosen not to confront what donald trump is doing. the...

The headwinds of trumpism too much even for him in wisconsin. steve, i want you to show us a chart if you will, before the election everybody -- before every election they like to talk about congressional ballot tests and consumer confidence, theres really no better correlation between the gains and losses by the presidents party. can you show us how that measurement predicts these midterms or not? >> i can. with respect to your question, joe, the fact is, we showed some of these charts before t...

And other stories like this that looked to a lot of americans. so here is what we have now. the large advantage democrats held in enthusiasm has all but ee.evaporated. 80% of republicans now say the october election is very important. that is two points shy of the democrats who saw their enthusiasm tick up only slightly with the prior poll. there you have it. thats just over the last month or so. >> and, willie, weve said it time and time again on this show, when people do generic ballot tests, ...

Again we always look at the generic ballot tests for congress. >> uh-huh. >> that tells one part of the story. the bigger part of the story, because voting is down during these mid terms is intensity. democrats are winning on the voter intensity side. that may be -- just like there was a hidden vote for donald trump in 2016 in some areas, i suspect at the end of the day a lot of these close races if they stay close to the very end you are going the see voter intensity make a big difference on el...

Democrats 10 points ahead. >> so, willie, while i dont usually look at the generic ballot test, you look, you know, more at the intensity. thats what really matters. and the democrats have that, as well. but i always look at trend lines. and my gosh, the trend lines for the republicans and these generic ballot tests have completely collapsed. remember, they were crowing again in the spring, its been closed, you live for -- yeah, whatever. here we are. those are massive numbers. >> yeah. how abou...

Ballot tests, those are important. but it comes down to the intensity because people are far less likely to vote in mid-term elections than they are in presidential elections, and if youre somebody who just voted for donald trump because you didnt like hillary clinton or because you dont like nancy pelosi or you dont like the "new york times" or you dont like "morning joe" or because you dont like this or you dont like that, that doesnt drive you to go vote in an election. you have to be driven ...