Page 123 - Barometer News Today

>> steven? >> crowds are interesting barometer in the the few days. when you are on a campaign, you see big crowds and you think, wow, there is real momentum here. i remember being out with john kerry. often, it is a sign of enthusiasm but not necessarily a sign of turnout. these things can be deceptive in the final play. >> you have to wonder how many of those people came out to see jay-z and beyonce are going to vote. we will see in the numbers. >> as we said, four rallies in four states today...

Best use of her time. the clinton polling numbers many michigan and wisconsin are closer than we think they are. >> to michigan there is a committee there that people never talk to. you have seen a surge in the online mobilization. i wouldnt be surprised to see if they come out to vote for her. they had voted for bernie sanders during the primary. i wouldnt be surprised at trying to galvanize the vote most people never talk about. >> before we wrap it up, another barometer might be the idea of i...

At a faster pace. part of that time calculation is how many votes have been cast already. well over 10 million votes cast already. is there anything that tells you that youre watching in particular thats particularly presiptive or illuminating in terms of the early vote? >> you have to be very careful because some states changed the way. in nevada, a reporter out there will tell you that the trends look the same as in 2012 and when hillary clinton carried that state -- sorry, barack obama carrie...

Clinton but overall be careful about reading too much into the early vote. >> any one state youre looking at, whether polling or early voting numbers that you feel like youre counting on as a barometer in terms of how the state will go? >> one is florida and the other is pennsylvania. donald trump must win in florida and hillary clinton must win in pennsylvania. there were three other polls today that had him down by three percentage points. thats very bad news for him in that state. >> if you c...

>> you have to be very careful because some states changed the way. in nevada, a reporter out there will tell you that the trends look the same as in 2012 and when hillary clinton carried that state -- sorry, barack obama carried that state by five percentage points. it looks different for hillary clinton but overall be careful about reading too much into the early vote. >> any one state youre looking at, whether polling or early voting numbers that you feel like youre counting on as a barometer...

Numbers and whats caused it, lets bring in your panel. victoria difrancesco, professor of mexican-american studies at university of texas. robert traynum, former bush senior adviser and eleanor clift at the day by beast. robert 50shgs% in this abc poll that just came out. as you watch the numbers grow not only in terms of the gap, that 50% is a major barometer to be watching here, hitting that bench mark. >> -- is not making any headway whatsoever with the american voter out there, particularly ...

Appreciate it. all right. now back to presidential politics at the top of the hour, donald trump scheduled to hold a rally in naples, florida, his only rally of the day. youre seeing some pictures here. recent polls have shown hillary clinton leading by a slim margin in that state. hillary clinton is set to speak this hour in charlotte, north carolina, jumping to a 12-point lead over donald trump in a new abc news poll. shes up 50% to 38% over trump. and among women clinton now holding a 20-po...

Question. mitt romney obviously is no trump fa came out in march and said he was a phony and a fraud. mitt romney has been silent of who he would support. if he came out and said mcmullin, you could see utah definitely going mcmullin, maybe idaho, maybe that switches things in arizona. theres a big block of voters waiting for mitt romney to say something but hes been he tant to do so. >> youve heard this not only because of mcmullin but we have jill stein, gary johnson, that third party vote cou...

Your age here. not at all here, joe. but as we look at this, the new thing this cycle is, right, that money hasnt fully been the barometer to watch when were talking about donald trump because of the way that hes been able to message one-to-one. so maybe as we look at the trending on money, there is still as weve been saying 23 days left here. he can turn this around. >> well, its going to be very, very hard. i mean, its really hard to overcome this kind of a money disadvantage. i mean, hillary ...

Leaders that he has, like actually chris is a great barometer in terms of figuring out whether or not people are the same person they have always been or changed. because chris is absolutely the same person he has always been and he is rock solid in terms of the way he can assess where people are at. >> and his nerve endings havent deaden offered the years. >> no. he is a life wire. >> im a muslim, i would like to report a crazy man threatening a woman on a stage in missouri, was tweeted out. ma...