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February 4, 2018
Against him or neutral. if you look at the competitive senate races, it makes a lot of sense. a lot of them are in states where trump did overwhelmingly well in 2016 and in the house certainly with gerrymandering you have a lot of seats that are overwhelming republican. you have a lot of people who are retiring because they either dont want to be in the mix with a trump presidency or dont like the toxic environment in washington but look anybody who is waiting for mitch mcconnell and paul ryan t...
January 21, 2018
Edge. 56% to 41% the chuck schumer decided were sticking with our base here because base intensity and base enthusiasm we have an advantage right now. >> the democrats want to make this midterm election all about president trump and thats traditionally what midterm elections are about. you have this unusual situation where there is great optimism about the economy. theres a new poll out today. we find that theres a better feeling about the economy than theres been in 17 years, some good reasons ...
December 20, 2017
>> and the question is, does it get republican voters back in the game? midterm elections are about base intensity. we have seen it in new jersey, virginia and ruby red alabama democrats won a vote. democrats want to send a message to washington and the president, the republicans have a suburban slump. look at the intensity numbers from suburban polling. democratic intensity is up. or poll shows democratic intensity is up and growing. as we get closer to the election year, its on the rise. the q...
August 8, 2017
This year about 1.25 million jobs have been created. in the last, in the seven months of 2016 1.35 million jobs had been created. there is positive growth but we are not, this is not a surge unlike weve seen before. one thing on the poll i want to touch on and alisyn you mentioned this, the strongnumbe the strong disapproval number. i look at that, what youre seeing in a lot of ways is base intensity. thats how much do the people who love you and hate you love and hate you. theres a huge dispari...
July 9, 2017
Slogan is a bummer but not that accurate. >> a pox on all the houses? we shall see. a question now front and center for republican campaign strategists, how do gop incumbents run if the party fails to repeal and replace obamacare? the president has called the house republican plan mean and the current senate plan polls below 30% approval. walking away can, at first glance, look appealing. mid term elections are about base intensity and many veteran republican strategists worry failure to pass so...