Page 8 - Base Strategy News Today

Not in the closing days. take a look here at our brand-new poll. in arizona, martha mcsally, 47%. thats a four-point lead within the margin of error and a tighter lead than two months ago in september when it was a seven-point lead. look now in nevada. and youll see a similar story. you see jackie rosen there, 48%, dean heller, republican incumbent at 45%. thats been about where that race has been for two months. heres whats key. even though donald trumps numbers are improving from what they wer...

Year and a half. he believe hes gotten validation of success, he got into office this way, he believes hes maintain this rock solid level of support, so while other presidents may have taken this moment, called for relisheh the media. he loves that hes out there, blaming the media, and the media is criticizing him because that can program friendly media for him, double down his efforts with his supporters, and completely stay with that base strategy which he believes is going to help his party s...

Having to answer for him. this is a president who his mantra is punching back. he does it every single time, it used to be something we talked about in the campaign, it didnt change when he became president, he didnt decide to sit on -- something of a pedestal and say, im going to be the shining example here for the rest of the country. moral leadership and what not. he never did that. he never changed his strategy and his aides, because they work for him, they work in the building with him, the...

Republican candidates parrot his talk on immigration. thats why were so sure, all of us i think sitting here, this is really a base strategy to make sure the republican base voters republican newsed. but its not necessarily what republicans who are trying to hang on to the house need in most of those battlefield districts about voters in the middle. >> at the same time, i would make the suggestion that it does help republicans in north dakota, in indiana, and missouri, and the battleground state...

>> david -- sorry, go ahead. >> one note on the immigration issue, though. i do think if you look at which republicans are sort of parroting the president out on the campaign trail, theyre republicans in deep red states. you look at his numbers on immigration with independents. hes only at 38% approval on that issue with independents. only at 32% approval on that issue with women in our latest poll. and so youre not seeing the republicans who are really where the battle for the house is in the s...

In california, theres a half dozen races that are within the margin of error. i think that, you know, kavanaugh sent a spasm through the election season. but i think that the forces of gravity are pulling folks towards democrats in the same way that they were before. but if democrats dont show up, it will be 2016 all over again. it will be 2014, and the results will not be good. >> mm-hmm. ive been saying that all along. so caravan, kavanaugh, and cuts, chris. tax cuts. the whole tax cuts is a w...

>> congress is not in session. so, listen, this is what were going to hear for -- this is the strategy. hes laying it out there, putting it right in your face. hes being boelds. the election of the caravan. were going to hear that for the next two weeks, for the next 15 days. >> yeah, no question. look, this is a base strategy. midterm elections tend to be base wars because you see voter participation drop. voter participation not all that high in presidential elections dropped significantly in ...

About. among women, i believe among independents, more than 60% of independent women who usually determine the outcome of elections, they are the largest group i think of swing voters. 63% favor democrats. 62% favor democrats. what does this white house worry about, if anything, with the president turning harsher rhetoric on women, people that he, you know, his own constituents, than he does for dictators and authoritarian leaders like mbs? >> well, there is, by the way, concern in the white hou...

Rochelle ritchie. the idea of preemptive impeachment, how much does this reveal about democrats? >> this is base politics. thats all this is. and i think nancy pelosi knows even to impeach president trump that there is not really a lot of mainstream american support for that. i think the impeachment of bill clinton, although it was 20 years ago at this point, is seared in the minds of many american voters. it was not a positive time for our country, and i dont think, you know, if the democrats w...

Approval. if its at 36%, the president is basically a base plus none right now. his base strategy of communicating only to his base makes it harder for him to persuade independents and swing voters and people who are outside that hard base. and i think were seeing that right now. and thats really bad news for the republicans heading into the midterm elections. theyd much rather be talking about an economy thats doing really well than talking about the presidents tweets, than talking about the wo...