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Adjusting Batter Performance by the Quality of the Opposing Pitcher

February 12, 2021 In the 2020 season, American League MVP José Abreu faced 107 different pitchers, including the top four in Cy Young voting point totals (Shane Bieber, Trevor Bauer, Yu Darvish, and Kenta Maeda). Bauer was the only of the four not to allow a home run to Abreu in 2020. In comparison, MVP Runner-up José Ramírez faced 69 of the pitchers that Abreu faced. The third-place DJ LeMahieu faced a completely different set of pitchers, not a single one overlapping with Abreu’s. While ...
United States Nelson Cruz Mike Brosseau Brandon Lowe Corey Seager Yu Darvish

Brad Miller and Marwin Gonzalez Find New Homes

February 12, 2021 As we near the opening of spring training, two more players have found new homes, as utility players Brad Miller and Marwin Gonzalez signed major league contracts for the 2021 season. Gonzalez’s deal is a one-year contract with the Red Sox worth $3 million; Miller signed with the Phillies for similar compensation. Utility players have always been a part of baseball, but they got a special showcase in the 2020 World Series, as the Dodgers and Rays are two teams that highly va...
United States Christian Arroyo Brad Miller Yoshi Tsutsugo Mike Brosseau Tony Adams

On the Road Again? | FanGraphs Baseball

Baseball is starting. Selfishly, I’m excited. I love the game. And we need it here at FanGraphs. We can get ready for Opening Day with transaction analyses, prospect rankings, and various pre-season activities. But once the snow melts and temperatures warm (at least here in Midwest), we need games so we can talk about individual moments and the broader standings, and keep the content machine grinding away. Behind that hum of activity, though, there’s still a pandemic. The overall state of ...
United States Dominican Republic Charles Peterson Jairo Castillo Johan Maya Major League Baseball

The Mariners Begin Building Their Bullpen of Tomorrow

February 12, 2021 Addressing a historically bad bullpen was the primary goal of the Mariners this offseason. Going back to 1969 — the year MLB lowered the mound — the 2020 Mariners bullpen posted the second worst league-adjusted FIP and the fourth worst league-adjusted ERA in a single season. They’ve already made a number of moves to strengthen their relief corps, including trading for Rafael Montero and bringing in a ton of relievers on minor-league deals. Yesterday, they capped off thei...
Blue Jay United States Michael Pineda Corey Brock Jerry Dipoto Rafael Montero

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Introducing Batter xHR/FB Rate, Version 4.0: Std Dev of Dist FB+LD Fun

Now that my xHR/FB rate v4.0 equation has been revealed, let’s dive into the components of the equation and get to know each one of them. We’ll start with Std Dev of Dist FB+LD (SDD), which is the standard deviation of the batter’s fly balls and line drives. This is important because just knowing the average distance of those batted balls isn’t enough. A batter who alternates 400 foot blasts with 200 foot blasts is going to record a much greater HR/FB rate than the batter with consisten...
Giancarlo Stanton Robbie Grossman Kevin Newman Marcell Ozuna Brandon Lowe Luke Voit

Seven Takeaways From Our Playoff Odds | FanGraphs Baseball

February 10, 2021 Earlier this week, as is tradition, FanGraphs founder David Appelman went into his garage, turned off all the lights except for some candles, and performed a dark and arcane ritual. Then he went back inside, pushed a few buttons on his computer, and now we have playoff odds for 2021! Okay, fine, that isn’t exactly how it went down, but it’s close. Our playoff odds incorporate little pieces of a lot of features you’ve already seen on the website. We start with a blended ...
United States Nolan Arenado Gerrit Cole Justin Turner Angel Pujols Josh Hader

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