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June 17, 2024
Andahalf million or so overt course of next five years and considering we have been at 600,000 or so, if we go to one. 2 million that is a double in the pace of reconstruction activity the and twice as many framers roofers and home inspector and is then that has a booying fantastic on the overall economy having said that im not living with my head in the sand here i recognize that a lot of markets are still suffering a little bit and this graph show yous you the change of value in home price fro...
June 17, 2024
From the United States Census Bureau and this is house of information and if you are young couple getting a first house or an individual whos you know, living in school and getling their first detriment ask a forms the horizontal line going through there is the average from 1961 to 2,000 and leaves out the last deck a i did ask so it says how many newer homes do we really need here and its one and a quarter million and so may be between one and a quart million and one andahalf million is where w...
June 17, 2024
Would be a horizontal line through this graph and we would find that we were building way too much at the height of the bubble and so where are we going from here we are going back to one and a quarter or one andahalf million or so overt course of next five years and considering we have been at 600,000 or so, if we go to one. 2 million that is a double in the pace of reconstruction activity the and twice as many framers roofers and home inspector and is then that has a booying fantastic on the o...
June 17, 2024
Bubble and so where are we going from here we are going back to one and a quarter or one andahalf million or so overt course of next five years and considering we have been at 600,000 or so, if we go to one. 2 million that is a double in the pace of reconstruction activity the and twice as many framers roofers and home inspector and is then that has a booying fantastic on the overall economy having said that im not living with my head in the sand here i recognize that a lot of markets are still ...
June 17, 2024
Prerecession level of Household Wealth respondent righthand side there, you see the retail fails and personal number are hanging in there and that aught to support a halfway decedent growth in Consumer Spending and that is what this is showing here may be two growth in securelier spendings and so you get some help from construction sector and Consumer Spend something and what about businesses what role do they play in this, gdp growth in the future to the expend it has and this is a look at cash...
June 17, 2024
401 ks have come back and so in 2013, we are probably back to prerecession level of Household Wealth respondent righthand side there, you see the retail fails and personal number are hanging in there and that aught to support a halfway decedent growth in Consumer Spending and that is what this is showing here may be two growth in securelier spendings and so you get some help from construction sector and Consumer Spend something and what about businesses what role do they play in this, gdp growth...
June 17, 2024
Various drivers of that and the first case is that residential construct construction is going to help and that is what got us into this mess so it may seem counterintuitive this is the most macro measure i can use to show the residential activity across the country and obviously this fell off the cliff during the recession and has not meaning fully retraced ground during that time period what might be useful is to think about if this is the demand for new homes what is the real im sorry the sup...
June 17, 2024
Out the last deck a i did ask so it says how many newer homes do we really need here and its one and a quarter million and so may be between one and a quart million and one andahalf million is where we aught to be and so now im going to backup and go to the previous slide and if this was penciled in here it would be a horizontal line through this graph and we would find that we were building way too much at the height of the bubble and so where are we going from here we are going back to one and...
June 17, 2024
And if this was penciled in here it would be a horizontal line through this graph and we would find that we were building way too much at the height of the bubble and so where are we going from here we are going back to one and a quarter or one andahalf million or so overt course of next five years and considering we have been at 600,000 or so, if we go to one. 2 million that is a double in the pace of reconstruction activity the and twice as many framers roofers and home inspector and is then t...
June 17, 2024
And a quarter million and so may be between one and a quart million and one andahalf million is where we aught to be and so now im going to backup and go to the previous slide and if this was penciled in here it would be a horizontal line through this graph and we would find that we were building way too much at the height of the bubble and so where are we going from here we are going back to one and a quarter or one andahalf million or so overt course of next five years and considering we have ...