democrats make huge progress. the president got a lot done and now here we are. things are looking tight. it s been an eventful year politically. we ve seen that expressed in the polling. let s take a look at where it is right now. what you re seeing here is the generic ballot. the average and the generic ballot. this is the poll question where we, who want to control congress, republicans or democrats. the republicans now have an average lead, take all the different poles out there, 2. 2 points for republicans three weeks out. how does that compare at this point to a recent wave elections? you can see, it s lower than it was an 18 when democrats had their wave. they were seven points at this point. lower than in 2010 when republicans had that big wave in obama s first term, and lower in 2006 when democrats and george w. bush s second midterm year. but it is notably here, higher than it was at this point in 2014. this was barack obama s second midterm. this was a wave that was kind o
that s the biggest i have seen the republican lead. if you look in context, recent midterm waves. these are all wave elections in the midterms. this is where the generic ballot was at this point. you can see it s not on par with what democrats had in the two big wave years, not on par with what republicans had in 2010, when they took 63 seats and won the house. now it s the first time we have seen this in a long time. the republican lead and the generic ballot is larger than it was at this point in 2014. the significance of that is if you remember the 2014 midterm, barack obama s second midterm, it was kind of a slow, and late building wave. to the point that even on election night, the magnitude of it caught some folks by surprise, but that s when republicans took back the u.s. senate in 2014. they reached their highest level in terms of house seats since 1928. 2014 was a late building wave. you saw that number spike in the last couple of weeks. you ve now seen this one go from the re
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