Page 3 - Calculus Changes News Today

We are united. >> now, i know that a lot of you guys are going to process this tivoli, like what do i care about nikki haley -- heres why this matters. one, she could be somebody who runs for president of the united states. i dont think it would happen against donald trump. that would take a lot of chutzpah to run in party, especially this next time, assuming that the president runs again. if not, all the calculus changes. but she could run after that. her big challenge for all the boxes that sh...

Calculus changes. everything that happened before, put that in context. what happens now means flake has power of when the timing of the vote is. he can persuade other colleagues and the decision maker is mitch mcconnell. what does he want? he wabnts brett kavanaugh to be confirmed. likely it will take jeff flakes vote. >> many people have been asking th themselves what would john mccain do. both very close to senator mccain. john, meachum what is your take here? just 20 minutes ago we were sayi...

President trumps opportunity to tell his side of the story. if he doesnt want to avail himself of that in some ways, maybe robert mueller just walks away and assumes the worst about him. but if he were to file that subpoena, i am very confident that he could win unless we get a new supreme court, brett kavanaugh is someone who has written on a strong executive and strong executive privilege and so maybe the calculus changes once he comes to the court. but that case of u.s. versus nixon, unanimou...

Potential objections that are not just party objections. theyll say we have key concerns about some of these issues that you and i have talked about. and whether justices will rise above politics. then they will use the argument that in 2016 the gop stalled for months to prevent president obama from filling a vacancy on the bench and say why does not apply here in advance of midterm elections? will they succeed? thats probably the wild card here, george, because if they dont the pick will be rus...

Pick if you are the president? >> well, the calculus changes with each pick and a whole new ballgame. hardiman has been a judge the longest. he was a district court judge in 03 and sat on the 3rd circuit since 06. a very distinguished judge, close of course to the presidents sister. very solid opinions on religious liberty, the 2nd amendment so it doesnt surprise me hes in the final list. whether he will get the nod or not, remains to be seen. >> democrats are rallying around roe versus wade. th...

Group of people than the suburbanites ron is talking about. we forget that is in this bill. maybe it gets stripped out. maybe it doesnt. you lose rand paul, the calculus changes. this is a big risk theyre taking. it is deeply unpopular right now. >> all right. chris cillizza, ron brownstein, thank you. later in the program we will talk about the political theater we saw. >> and very relevant. as i like to tease on the show, do you hear that? thats the big voice of the democrats trying to win bac...

That are coming up? >> then you have real panic. thats whats really going to -- you know, that will be that small voice of conscience telling them, hey, maybe you ought to freak out now. until it becomes obvious to them that, number one, theyre not going to get their agenda and they could be facing a blowout in 2018,heyre goi to be reluctant to break. but ce that happens, then i do think the calculus changes. but then again, do not underestimate the ultimate investment of the trump base in trump...

Can use -- where we dont have to use american boots or american treasure, drones, we use those. thats increasingly the way wars are fought. i guess i wonder do you think that sort of -- that strategy, that calculus changes if another party controls the white house? >> no, i dont. i think that thats the difficulty that the republican candidates have had when they are more specifically asked about what they would do differently. this is sort of the way that a wars will be fought by the united stat...

Suddenly your calculus changes. >> neil: would you lead a filibuster? >> i will use any and all procedure means available. we dont know for sure how harry reid is going to tee this up. but rest assured i will use any and all procedure mean wes have in front of us. >> neil: conservative mike levin was saying the way for republicans to throttle this through their own minds is to even risk losing for a cause in the event it puts a stamp on your passion. im paraphrasing here but used the example of ...

Peter agreed, if assad uses chemical weapons now, it looks like the man in russia has no power. >> thats right. and that would lead to an outcome that putin doesnt want. because i think if assad uses chemical weapons again the calculus changes. the use of force becomes much more -- a much more viable option for obama, well have more international support p you can see sentiment change in europe, for instance. and i think youre really likely to see a swift reaction from the west if he does it aga...