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The broadcaster’s colour-coded map bewildered viewers this week, but – as history shows – forecasting has never been a precise science

United kingdomBen nevisCity ofCentral bedfordshireTristan gooleyVicky laffeyDouglas parkerNavy viceRoyal societyGroup capt james staggUniversity of leedsUnited kingdom met officeMet officeCapt robert fitzroyCentral forecasting stationGreat famine