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The Community Voice: OC poll shows recall a longshot

June 25, 2021 For decades it was a truism that for a Republican to have a chance in a statewide election, they would first need to win a majority of 250,000 votes or more in Orange County, the firmest conservative bastion in California. Republicans will apparently need a new formula, though, in order to unseat Gov. Gavin Newsom in the upcoming recall election. That’s the most immediate takeaway from both the 2020 election results and a springtime poll conducted by City of Orange-based Chapman University, an increasingly prominent Orange County institution. Here’s what happened in 2020: Ex-President Trump lost the county by 154,000 votes, Joe Biden outpolling him by a margin of 834,000 to 680,000, or 55 percent to 44 percent.

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