Stable lead. I would say organized labor is doing much more effectively in michigan. I would put a finger on the scale for democrats in michigan, and finally, jeanne shaheen, there are some conflicting calls with most showing her head by half a dozen points. There may be some closure there, but i still think she has a measurable advantage. If republicans need one, it needs to be iowa or colorado. If they simply get republican states voting republican, they dont need to win any swing states, or, if they lose both, they need to win two out of the purple or green categories. Ive put it at 60 . Stu rothenberg hes sticking with his prediction of seven seats. One last thing and then we will bring up neil and stan. Sometimes, people ask me why the heck do we need to listen to charlie cook or his team . Why do we need to listen to them or stu rothenberg and his terrific colleague if weve got nate silver and New York Times and these other models that are out there. My analogy is the money ball
Separately in his own opinion and labeled it dubious because he didnt think that the use of the word threat means you got to mean it to be a threat. It doesnt matter the criminal law very rarely has any liability of what a reasonable person think. Its got to be the guilty mind of the person doing it. So the court added that second question. I think the importance of this case is whether the case goes off on the statutory ground or the constitutional ground. This is just one federal statute and you can start again, you can try again later. Although the Roberts Court has somewhat of a practice of throwing water on the issues and giving everybody a chance of trying to trim their sales before they invalidate their statutes. It will be more important if it goes up on a constitutional ground because you have several statutes, not all of which include a subjective intent requirement. In addition, there are several different federal statutes. It is interesting thats goes up on the constitution
Sfond to that . Saysll the Tillis Campaign senator hagan is too closely aligned with president obama. They point to some policies, particularly the health care law. If you look at the upcoming debate between these two candidates courtesy of wraltv, what are you looking for . Its a whans for the candidates to show voters directly how theyre different from one another. Some experts will think perhaps they will bring up things that didnt come up on the first debate on september 3rd, that might be issues like Voting Rights and gun control. Ibs also possible like top like ebola and iraq and syria. Speaker tillis has been trying to use some Foreign Policy issues to show his strength and criticize senator hag. What does the Tillis Campaign have on the ground no North Carolina and conversely the hagan campaign . It is more complicated in a midterm ewlecks theres no president ial race. Both parties have people knocking on doors. They also have groups that support them out doing the same thing.