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predecessor to genocide growing there are once again? you've mentioned this ethnic violence. yes, i think we are seeing really shocking levels of violence in the data for area, commentators separated from khartoum by 1000 miles of near open desert, so it feels very remote and it is spilling over into places like chad, violence coming in from into places like chad, violence coming infrom libya, into places like chad, violence coming in from libya, through militia groups and the central african republic so this is an area of very little centralised government control, or traditionally part of sedan have been without that government control, so it is unchecked violence, it appears more chaotic than the more organised violence going on in the capital between these two warring sides and that is going to be much harder to control because it is so far from the capital and from television cameras and other eyes. it's really hard to ascertain the

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northern part of the country, associated with the rapid support forces. i think we have seen, since the fighting started though, the assistance of the wagner group to the rapid support forces mainly coming from outside the country, so using their networks in libya and the central african republic where they have broad control over they have broad control over the security environment there, using that to final arms, heavy weapons, fuel and supplies across those borders of libya and central african republic into sudan to support the rapid support forces. the question is, is that enough support to the rapid support forces to tip the rapid support forces to tip the balance in theirfavour. irate the balance in their favour. we not the balance in their favour. we got about _ the balance in their favour. we got about 20 seconds left but theyjust got about 20 seconds left but they just want to ask you at this point, what do you think the most likely outcome is in this conflict? irate the most likely outcome is in this conflict?— this conflict? we are seeing the sedan — this conflict? we are seeing the sedan armed _ this conflict? we are seeing the sedan armed forces - this conflict? we are seeing i the sedan armed forces begin this conflict? we are seeing - the sedan armed forces begin to claw back control over parts of khartoum, i think if they are successful in doing that we are going to see the rapid support forces not give up but perhaps

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