Welcome to squawk alley. Im Carl Quintanilla live with Morgan Brennan at post 9 of the New York Stock Exchange. Jon fortt has the morning off. The markets have lost some gains as all eyes are turning to jackson hole Steve Liesman is there as the feds twoday annual economic symposium kicks off. Hey, steve hey, carl this is from our icon. But the september fed fund futures has now flipped from a small probability of a 50 basis point cut in september to a small probability that the fed remains on old just to be clear, a 98 probability that the fed does cut by a quarter, but it was like a 2 probability of a fed now its a 2 cut that the fed remains on hold in september maybe some of that coming from the sort of hawkish talk or less dovish talk weve gotten from two Federal Reserve officials here in jackson hole so far. I say so far, because theres a lot yet to come. Ill get to that in a second before we get to that, i want to show all of this sort of emphasizes the challenge of Federal Reser
It looks like a Consumer Confidence beats on the top line. Coming a lot stronger as well. Is ad know that the s p little bit lower and that continues to be the case. Off by. 4 . The big headline number is tech. Semiconductor coming in with it is sporting forecast. It is dragging down all of the tech sector. Threemonth, 10year. Only inverted by 1 basis points. Jay powell tomorrow, he will be happy about that. Want to take a look at the financials index. One of the worst performers within the s p 500. This is after we heard from citigroup yesterday. They are laying off hundreds of global jobs. 80 of those in your london, guy. Guy deutsche banks front and settle on a story as well. Here, we are trading with a 121 handle. That is helping out the ftse 100. It is not trading as much to the downside as its continental counterparts. By is done. 2. 22 is down 2. 22 . The lufthansa is trading down today. Bayer is trading down today. The tray narrative mixed up in all of this. Continental market
First to our top story, job numbers came out friday while overall payroll gains were up in july along with a rise in hourly earnings. That wasnt enough to keep stocks out of the red, the worst week of 2019. This as President Trump decided to ratchet up the trade war with china, announcing a slew of new tariffs for the start of september, and dont forget the fed cutting Interest Rates for the First Time Since 2008. A move chairman powell describes as a midcycle adjustment to keep the economy expanding. We have tom thibodeau, the ceo and our editor mike regan. Why were markets caught off guard by the president s escalation of the trade war, when really there has been no end in sight. If you look back to the g20 meeting last month, there seems to be, if not progress, at least 80 escalation of tensions. When we started the week, President Trump was tweeting on monday about china, criticizing them. At that point it didnt seem like he was ready to escalate things with fu catching people offg
The door. Doordash. Survey hear from the monkey ceo. First to our top story, job numbers came out friday while overall payroll gains were up in july along with a rise in hourly earnings. That wasnt enough to keep stocks out of the red, the worst week of 2019. This as President Trump decided to ratchet up the trade war with china, announcing a slew of new tariffs for the start of september, and dont forget the fed cutting Interest Rates for the First Time Since 2008. A move chairman powell describes as a midcycle adjustment to keep the economy expanding. , the ceoom thibodeau and our editor mike regan. Why were markets caught off guard by the president s escalation of the trade war, when really there has been no end in sight. G20f you look back to the meeting last month, there seems , if not progress, at least 80 escalation of tensions. When we started the week, President Trump was tweeting on monday about china, criticizing them. At that point it didnt seem like he was ready to escalat
We will look at the performance of asian makers and hear from General Motors. Lets see how things are shaping up for asian rackets. Markets. Roilings tweets are markets and the stocks look to be opening at a low. Taking a look at nikki futures, down a little more than 1 . This brings on the prospect of more retaliation. That will be way down on the. Hares of these Asian Companies especially when japan opens, we will be seeing whats going to happen between japan and south korea. We are expecting the Prime Minister to have an announcement about how they treat those south korean companies. Looking closely ahead to that as well as checking on the commodities later. Sophie thanks so much. Checking in on the terminal. Oc been numbers coming up, rounding out the three big lenders. Net income at 1. 22 billion compared to the estimate of 1. 9 billion. Allowances for loans and other assets came out at 111 million. Secondquarter growth was likely driven by expansion in interbank rates. Income was