Page 20 - Computer Model News Today

In marathon, florida now one of the producers picking up a wind gust at 71 miles per hour. thats just three miles per hour away from hurricane strength. so most likely will be a category four. theres no doubt in our minds. its such a massive storm. coming up at 11:00 p.m. eastern time well get a new track. its interesting to note that we have not lost the westerly component in the movement. surely by now we thought we would see more of a north movement because without that northerly movement we ...

>> the american computer model that is one of our more like models. it is still intensifying the storm. >> not bigger, that could be getting stronger. it could necessarily get any bigger, but the water is still pretty warm. wont happen, so we have time to strengthen. a cat four storm on the westside and hitting so many cities. it would be better if it was a straight shot with a lot of damage. this will cause a lot of damage to a lot of people. abby: by the time it hits tampa, still a terrible si...

Just a matter of hours. pete: nearly 6 million citizens across the state told to get out. the largest, they say, evacuation order in u.s. history. todd: and the most powerful atlantic hurricane in recorded history. already blamed for at least 23 deaths. leaving unprecedented damage across the caribbean. and its on its way to the u.s. rick: muted joins us live now with the very latest on irmas path. rick, where are we at 6:35 east coast time? rick: we are still not able to stay exactly where its ...

That purple shaded area right around the beautiful parks there in northern sections of florida. 10, 11 inches of rainfall. that is going to be devastating. all right. we go back towards the board, give you a little bit more information as to what we can expect. who is going to see the eye move over them? well, it does look like the computer models have said more so if we were -- i did this yesterday. if we drew a line right down the center of florida, those computer models were trending more so ...

With cuba. but mainly the computer model, at least these, the spaghetti plots, still kind of favor that east coast. but when we look at the track now from the national hurricane center, instead of shifting eastward again like it did yesterday, it went back to the west about another 15 to 20. that puts miami, unfortunately, anderson n the worst possible position. >> lets talk about how the various models changed the risk for florida depending on which way they return. >> lets look at the european...

Wreaking havoc there through the caribbean, karen. but all eyes on florida. when and where do we expect it to make landfall in. >> i am so glad you asked me that first. because we can tell you all the computer models and whos doing what differently and what they say. here we are early friday morning. we go into early saturday morning. still not going to make landfall. maybe saturday night, maybe sunday morning. thats our window. so theres 48 hours right there. the window is closing so fast for y...

Hurricane irma remains an extremely dangerous category 5 storm in the dominican republic and haiti bracing for the worst after this storm tore through and devastated the island of barbuda yesterday. >> chad myers is there to give us the latest sense. chad? >> im seeing a slight wobble to the right. its a wobble in the eye that a computer model cant predict. its too broad of a model, compared to the mesoscale or microscale. theres the eye of the storm. we zoom right in. notice the last couple fra...

These are all different models, consensus model here. as we go, this canadian model here just off the coast of flori florida, thats only about 25 miles off the coast. so that likely would put the western eyewall on shore. if we get something like this yellow line, hurricane work model thats 50 miles off shore, almost closer to what matthew did, when it went right over this island in freeport and the bahamas. thats what well be tracking so closely, stephanie, throughout the next two days. if we g...

The right occurs of who will have a landfall, in florida or carolinas and at what time. let me show you a computer model. we will put the european and u.s. back to back, on top of each other. you wand to see them trending together. that gives you confidence. theres always a spread in the end, but not much here. this is sunday afternoon near west palm, miami. now lets take a look at, of course, monday, which is september 11th. both systems bring it up into the southeast with a landfall here, but ...

Tom, this is going to be something to watch over the next several days. >> well, exactly, jim. in fact, i want everybody to make sure they understand that. this is a long-term event. so, what i share with you now, lets say i show you a model that shows a land fall in miami as a category 4 next saturday, do not think miami is going to have a category 4 next saturday. every day is important. every computer model run that come out a couple times a day is important. any deviation to the north and so...