Page 111 - Computer Models News Today

Category four storm that stalls for the better part of a week. and houston, which is the most flood-prone city in america, is going to wind up with 20, 30, maybe as much as 40 inches of rain. the computer models dont dry it out in houston until sometime next weekend. >> paul, as we dont want people to be fooled again by the downgrade and the severity of what it means for the rain and the historic flooding over the next couple of days, but bigger picture, explain why this could be more to do with...

Menace. notice this pink out line. thats the tornado watch. you dont see that in the corpus christi area. theyre in the area of heavy rain, strong winds, conditions not great. but this is the dangerous quadrant of the storm. north and east of corpus christi. up towards the gal ves ton area. the water is funneling in. a lot of people maybe trapped on the barrier islands. the good news its fairly rural location. but again this is an evolving storm here. we were just looking at some of the latest c...

We cannot underestimate this. because the computer models no matter which one you look at, the american one, the european one, it is all significantly off. where they talk about it being catastrophic, historic, life threatening, they dont use those words lightly at all. all right. it is moving northwest. i want to point out a couple things. interstate 35 it moves from san antonio to austin. and it whips thup this great base. that is going to fill up. you will see hurricane harvey category 2, had...

And this is what its going to do. its going to trek towards the northwest. and impurity models are now sort of in agreement that this is going to make a loop. not a goldplate agreement, because theres no scary current here. knowledge in the atmosphere to sweep it through. not a cold front to sweep it through. nothing else. it is over land. we may even see it weaken to tropical storm intensity. all of these curlicues that youre seeing moving around here. there are some outliers, north to the nort...

Waiting and seeing exactly how intense the rains will be in the flooding situation, well just have to wait and see. we appreciate the reporting. now lets switchover to our colleague, karen mcguinness, whos tracking this storm. it appears the storm is moving. >> there is no need to worry. a lot of this moisture is going to make its way towards san antonio. i want to show you here is interstate 35. it runs right around luradio to san antonio to austin. essentially it is this basin that were lookin...

Category 2, its trekking towards the northwest around 6 miles an hour. this still is deep tropical moisture. we may see this go down to tropical storm force. and already, in that upper right god gra quadrant, thats where weve seen some of the heaviest rainfall totals. oswald, texas over 9 1/2 inches of rainfall. victoria, texas, 9 inches of rainfall. and weve got days and days to go. and then we go into sunday with category 1. but cyril and natalie, this looks to be, according to our computer mo...

Hurricane with its imagery. you get it every 5 minutes instead of 15 minutes. it creates a much more accurate and potentially life-saving picture. to get an idea of this storm right here, we see the doughnut. at the center of that i. when the storms begin to interact with land, the start to slow down. thats not happening at all. the winds that are high up in the atmosphere, transporting down to the ground a lot easier. that means we are going to see probably these wins at 130 gusting to maybe 15...

Possibility of isolated tornadoes and the flash flooding threat, this band on the outside going through the outside here of the houston metro area. this is over the top of houston. if we slide it over, over the top of galveston, lightning strikes in here, this is where the radar is located. the houston area, thats where the heavy rain is for you. back here towards the center of the storm, as we look towards victoria, texas. this area is not going to move much. the storm is financial to become st...

Computer models have been a mess. i havent seen anything quite like this. it because measly weak tropical storm allison. over 35 inch of rain around the houston area. 9 billion in economic losses and 41 fatalities. that was a weak tropical storm. can you imagine getting half of your yearly rainfall and drop it on you in a couple of days? thats what we are looking at. >> thank you. well come back to you. >> its picking up. >> hi. this is the second band of hurricane harvey we have seen.

Texas. weve watched the eye. as the center pressure drops, we see it strengthen. youll start to see the storm surge, as well, pretty heavy rainfall bands have produced all around galveston, texas, some rainfall reports in excess of an inch of rain. this is still early. were looking at days of precipitation going into next week, and the computer models are all over the place. what computer models? they plug in different parameters, the computer spits out different scenarios if they anticipate tha...