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How did Hurricane Otis' record intensification catch advanced forecast models by surprise?

As Hurricane Otis swirled north toward Mexico's Pacific coastline Tuesday, a "nightmare scenario" unfolded for residents near Acapulco when the storm experienced nearly unprecedented explosive development in hours, going from a Category 1 to a catastrophic Category 5 with nearly no warning, stunning residents and meteorologists alike.
United States National Hurricane Center Fort Myers Michael Brennan Pacific Ocean North America
Source: yahoo.com

CNN Early Start June 4, 2024 09:02:00

That will contribute to the potential for this to make it to major hurricane status. by major hurricane starting at category three and above. but now it looks like category 3 before it gets to that coastline of the big bend area where they have been forecasting the computer models are suggesting that that is where they anticipate landfall. but way before then areas around clearwater, st. pete, tampa, coral gables, ft. myers, you are all looking at that potential for storm surge. even though it i...
Major Hurricane Status Big Bend Area Computer Models Coral Gables Storm Surge Gulf Of Mexico

MSNBC Jose Diaz-Balart Reports June 4, 2024 15:06:00

Should not have a lot of power outages because of the winds. i am worried about the high tide in savannah thursday night, and that would be the storm surge coming in there so savannah could have high water issues. our computer models are all to the west. this black line is the hurricane center. the majority of them are closer to tallahassee than the hurricanes forecast and we will see if that westward trend continues. these are all areas where we are concerned with, and cedar key, where we just ...
Storm Surge High Tide Power Outages Computer Models Hurricane Center Cedar Key

MSNBC Andrea Mitchell Reports June 4, 2024 16:14:00

Center of the storm, theres a shallow shelf along the coast. it will pile the water up. water issues at the coast. if you are at an elevation of ten feet or higher, you are going to be just fine. you may not lose power if you are lucky. it is other areas to the north where the storm surge is worse that things will be of more serious concern. that includes cedar key, a population of 700. if theres one town that people will wonder how did it survive or did it survive, we will find that out wednesd...
Water Issues Storm Surge Cedar Key Triple Whammy Carolina Storm O Full Moon

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BBCNEWS The Daily Global June 4, 2024 18:31:00

As it approaches florida, its expected to be a category three storm when it reaches the coast on wednesday. larry seward of cbs news has been giving us the latest — this was an update from the governor. this was an update from the governor-— this was an update from the governor. this was an update from the rovernor. , ., , ., ., governor. the storm is going to im act governor. the storm is going to impact northern _ governor. the storm is going to impact northern florida. - governor. the sto...
Northern Florida Cbs News Larry Seward Impact Northern Florida Im Act Computer Models

BBCNEWS The Context June 4, 2024 19:11:00

But most of our computer models havent —— have been pretty consistently in this area of landfill in the big band. consistently in this area of landfill in the big hand. but it is important to remember that a hurricane is not a point. impacts can spread well beyond the centre. right now, the winds of a0 miles an hour or greater extent in 250 miles east of the storm centre so while the direct landfill is likely to be in a less populated area, impacts from the storm are expected to be pretty si...
Monster Hurricane Computer Models Big Band Haven T The Storm Centre East Florida

BBCNEWS The Context June 4, 2024 19:04:00

So were talking about counties like columbia. were talking about counties like hamilton, madison. all those counties are going to be affected by hurricane idalia. we are monitoring some of these computer models. you may see the national hurricane centre update the track in either the 2:00 or the 5:00 advisory. there are models suggesting that this is going to take more of a westward shift that could bring it into areas likejefferson and leon and wakulla area even. and people have known that this...
Computer Models Hurricane Idalia National Hurricane Centre Areas Likejefferson Making Preparations

MSNBC Chris Jansing Reports June 4, 2024 17:04:00

Way to savannah by 8:00 p.m. the problem with this is that at 8:30, it is your high tide. a full moon tide too. and well have the onshore winds and storm surge coinciding at the same time. thats why a top ten storm surge total water height is possible in the savannah area. well watch that. charleston, water levels very high as we go throughout your wednesday evening high tide. computer models, most of them are right near the black line, thats the hurricane center forecast track. notice majority ...
Storm Surge High Tide Full Moon Water Levels Computer Models Savannah Area

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