Page 72 - Computer Models News Today

Have been ripped apart. a life-threatening storm surge of about 18 feet remains a threat there. meanwhile, the storm is creeping closer to the u.s. with its outer bands now reaching parts of florida. >> all right. weve got our team on the ground with live reports across the state of florida. first, i want to go with nbc meteorologist bill karins. we have the latest advisory update on this. what are we seeing so far? >> good morning once again. the national hurricane center is saying the storm is...

Things further up the coast are going to be a little bit more interesting. you can see our computer models take it very close to eastern north carolina. some cross and actually have a landfall. by this time it would likely be a category 1 or a category 2 hurricane, but thats still significant and can still cause problems. its also going to be a close call for myrtle beach and charleston and includes georgetown in that. our new european model just came in. safely off the florida coast. some rain ...

Give us the rest of the forecast. this is the forecast that is about five hours and 47 minutes hold now. well see how much this updates. you notice they did have it at a category 4 at 8:00 this evening. its weakened more. i still think its going to be well off the florida coastline. the biggest question that im going to be waiting for to see is, you know, you look at center line off the coast of eastern north carolina, well wait and see if they shift that a little towards the coast. many of our ...

Saying the odds of any direct landfall in florida are pretty much over. they have been saying we kind of knew that throughout the last two days. now the cone is completely off the coast. none of our computer models are taking it towards the florida areas. you will get the indirect effects, the tropical storm forced winds, power outages here and there. were not going to have the devastation from the wind. rain is not going to be an issue. we have to watch out for the storm surge. even a storm thi...

This is where it gets interesting. we get to wednesday night. as we take it into thursday, it comes very close to charleston, possibly makes landfall over wilmington. if not maybe right over the outer banks and also brings some pretty heavy rain to this area. its an area of eastern north carolina and also even south carolina thats flood-prone. i mean, they get a quick 6 to 10 inches of rain, will have some rainfall flooding. plus we have to deal with the possibility of a category 1 landfall like...

>> in the next half hour well get the update from the hurricane center. theyll tell us if its actually moving instead of being stationary. it will also give us that new forecast path. i know a lot of people in south carolina and north carolina are going to be very, you know, interested. watching it closely for good reason, too. ill explain that in a second. so these are the numbers. 120s the max winds right now in the northern eye and the thunderstorms. its stationary. it looks like its starting...

About be done. it really shouldnt get any stronger but still could possibly be a category 3 storm as it makes the turn and heads up toward the carolinas. we are going to have a very close call here in areas of south carolina, north carolina, thursday into friday morning. all of our computer models are painting a picture here of brushing the coast or maybe even a landfall, stephanie. we are not done with this storm. you know, florida has to deal with some storm surge issues. same with georgia. bu...

Tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night. and then as we go -- the storm -- about the time it gets even to jacksonville, we expect the next turn, thats when it will make the northeasterly swing and where it makes that northeasterly swing, how far to the east it makes it will determine if we get a landfall or not here in eastern north carolina. its looking better for georgia. coastal south carolina, you still could get hit. were not completely taking you out yet. your forecast, at least as far as d...

>> wheres this going? and why do you think something will happen? were spaying we hope it will move overnight. why do we think that? >> its going to be slowly picked up. its slowly going to be pulled to the north by what we call a trough. the high pressure weakened and its going to draw it north. if youre just joining us, we got the new forecast at the end of this hour. well have a new update from the national hurricane center. i dont expect a lot of changes. they havent made a lot of changes in...

Senior meteorologist janice dean is joining us now. janice >> we just got the latest information, 11 a.m. advisory i havent seen a lot of hurricanes this strong. 180 miles-per-hour sustained winds. they have upped the winds, gusts of 220 miles-per-hour. this is going to cause catastrophic, life-threatening damage for the northwestern bahamas. this storm continues to strengthen and will probably be intact for at least the next 24 to 48 hours. and then beyond that, computer models look like theyre...