Page 88 - Computer Models News Today

We think by late morning landfall as a category 1, and then meander around areas across the coastal regions of south carolina into the piedmont region, so myrtle beach, paulys island, myrtles inlet, heavy rainfall for charleston, very easily to flood in charleston, precipitation moving on offer to the southern appalachians. there is a lot to consider here, especially when you think about that by monday into tuesday, were still looking at a significant rain event. all right. so what happens whe...

30 inches. some other computer models earlier had said 40 inches of rainfall. so where is that rain going to go? well, weve got that flow thats moving on shore and then the rivers are going to fan out. so you could be way inland in north carolina, way inland in south carolina, and you are still going to see the potential for extreme flooding. remember matthew? even interior sections of south carolina, columbia, south carolina, where some of the homes are still just sitting there after water was ...

The west, northwest. its moving fairly slowly, 6 miles an hour. weve been saying all along this is not going to be a wind event that is going to be a powerful -- its not going to be 100 plus mile an hour winds. we have seen hurricane force winds along the coast. this is going to be a long-term sustained rain event, wringing out along coastal sections of north carolina into the piedmont areas of south carolina, thats how the computer models are suggesting now. its category 1, sustained winds of 9...

Get the most significant wind damage with these thunderstorms as they come on shore. theyre barely off the coastline now of surf city and theyre going to be approaching the wrightsville beach area. the distance tracker on this, well show you just how far away these are now from the coast. thats about 22 miles. it is moving at about six miles per hour right now. so in about three hours from now you will be in that western-most eye wall in wrightsville beach. if were going to get wind damage with ...

Beach, still bands of very heavy rain up toward wilmington and jacksonville. then during the day on saturday the storm has continuation of heavy rain. as the storm goes into south carolina, we still get these feeder bands coming off the ocean that will produce heavy rain. and sunday still heavy rain. were talking three days in a row of heavy rainfall in the same area here of north carolina. as far as the rainfall forecast goes, this is one of our computer models. still adding it up, this goes th...

>> thats why when you live near the coast or evacuation area. know your elevation. if it was a nine foot storm surge and you live at ten feet youre fine. one of the biggest things emergency manager struggle with. people that evacuate that shouldnt. or refuse to that should. knowing your elevation is crucial. the storm surge numbers when were saying the max well say this morning is 7 to 11 feet. from the computer models. we know that where the high tide line is supposed to be on the beach. and yo...

This plane is great because it showed me a chance to show gratitude and support to the officers who do these flights multiple times a day. we were deploying drop zones, little instrument packets and we would drop them out and descend, we were collecting data, vertical profiles and send that information to computer models. l from outside the storm. you have to collect the data. >> from what you the coast and

The computer models that ran at 8:00 p.m. last night, they finished about midnight. the computer models took this and turned it to the left. more aircraft in it right now trying to sample the atmosphere. this is what theyre doing. this is what the airplane is doing in the hurricane. it looks like you will put your money in there and send it to the bank. they dont send it to the bank. they send it down. and its like an inverse weather balloon. these go down, but they still sample the atmosphere. ...

Now lets talk about our main computer models, the european model and american model. theyre in pretty good agreement. trrs this is 11:00 p.m. friday lingering off the coast of south carolina. this is the european computer model path. it takes up towards wilmington and then off the coast all through the weekend the rainfall amounts would be up to a foot on the south carolina coast as far a south as savannah if the european model is correct. with the -- all day friday and into saturday. the foreca...

Or not, the storm surge 9 to 13 feet writesville beach, that will be the worst times. we could get multiple high tide cycles. all of our computer models continue to linger on the coast. our european model as we were saying goes over wilmington, joe and mika and drifts down along the south carolina coastline. we are easily going to see historic rainfall amounts, they are saying that in the wilmington area this will be the storm of a lifetime. joe and mika, picture this, youve got 24 hours straigh...