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Update, is that dorian has weakened, but its not supposed to weaken much after this and areas of south carolina and north carolina especially need to prepare for the potential of a direct landfall of a category 2 hurricane. >> lets talk a little bit about that. if you are sitting in florida right now, to a certain extent you are breathing a sigh of relief because you are seeing this entire cone of uncertainty saying off the coast of florida, the storm surge still could very much be a problem. bu...

>> but liking the current modeling if it sticks. >> the forecast as it stands right now for the impacts on the southeast can kos and florida is a lot better. we still have the path from the cone as a category 1 hur can con. were mostly talking florida and georgia for a vast improvement. >> and as bill was describingutser rr been tough for the bahamas. therefore the damage has been unprecedented for them. the hurricane zero movement at the moment. its a nightmare that probably feels like weeks. i...

We may only get winds gusting in the 20 to 30 miles per hour range. the weaker, the better, the more off the coast the better too. >> and as you put that huge cone there, are you more worried about storm surge? >> thats the main concern, yeah. id say if we have anything thats going to do significant damage it would be storm surge. but the lower the winds get with the peek of the storm, maybe we can knock it down a couple of feet. regardless four to seven feet and furtherer, four feet and closer,...

>> but we still could get some areas that have some problems with storm surge. thats why the hurricane center is saying, listen to your emergency manager, evacuate, get out of the way. we dont need any accidents at the beaches today or tomorrow. then this is what kind of changed overnight. a little bit closer here to the north carolina coast. you notice its not like it weakens that much. still a category 2 hurricane. could make landfall here. anywhere from the south carolina to north carolina ar...

Times worse than what we deal with in florida. so its not like, you know, we still have concerns. people can die in storm surge. water kills the most people with hurricanes. thats why everyone has been told to evacuate. >> yeah. >> that cone is still from cape canaveral all the way through the outer banks of north carolina. >> from what we just saw, how confident are you of this track now? >> i would be shocked if it shifts toward the coast. at this point its even further off the coast than matt...

I dont know, 12 hours now. its just been sitting over the same location. that process has weakened the storm, you know, at the expense of everyone there on grand bahama island which still has a major hurricane over the top of them. if we get down to 110-mile-an-hour winds it would drop to a category 2. the eye has been falling apart. it doesnt even look that impressive on radar right now. theres not a lot of rain bands making it into florida. the eye itself is not as symmetrical. thats, again, s...

>> wheres this going? and why do you think something will happen? were spaying we hope it will move overnight. why do we think that? >> its going to be slowly picked up. its slowly going to be pulled to the north by what we call a trough. the high pressure weakened and its going to draw it north. if youre just joining us, we got the new forecast at the end of this hour. well have a new update from the national hurricane center. i dont expect a lot of changes. they havent made a lot of changes in...

This little black line on the map here shows the center fixes. it took a west jog. they wobble. everyone is going to watch every single one of these. it will be 80 to 100 miles off the coast. it could bring higher winds. it will remain off the coast safely. florida today, tropical storm gusts. occasional rain bands coming through. and high tide cycles with the storm surge. this is the part that gets very interesting. thursday we have the cone into charleston, georgetown area, a lot of eastern no...

Cooler air thats below goes to the surface. we have doubled the forward speed of this storm. we went from 1 miles per hour to now 2 miles per hour. its painful. its been painful over the last 48 hours. but you can see were starting to slowly drift away, especially from great abaco, thats where the coast guard is in there. but wed like to get the rescue efforts into freeport and grand bahama. so let me take you to the new badge of the hurricane center. a lot of our friends are staring at this fro...

Similar with both of them. thats what caused a lot of the damage with that path of m matthew. once we get past the outer banks here, north carolina, it changes a little bit and they kind of crisscross and diverge. that means even though matthew brushed the outer banks, we could get a direct landfall from dorian up there to the north. ill show you this one more time. were going get the new update in here any time, within the next 15 minutes. this was the old forecast from the hurricane center. sa...