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As we noticed it coming to of cuba on the slower side, perhaps this is a slower track. it does hover along the west coast of florida. but tomorrow morning around 7:00 8:00 in the morning it crosses over the florida keys. likely moving through the tampa area overnight tomorrow night. as it moves it will be a powerful storm the entire way. it will have to pass you, the way the air circulates around this. the water, the storm surge will be high once its to your north. by monday afternoon thats when...

Going through vaca cut at a way no one has ever seen. this is not over as the eye goes by. john? >> chad myers, thanks so much. i want to reiterate a point that chad made. tampa, which may get the worst of it, always in the cone that chad has been talking about for a few days, so the forecast has been dead on. as for mime where i am at right now, which may not get it, stilled bad any of. they needed to as i was saying before, out there is miami beach, more low lying than where im standing right ...

Very unpredictable. with them comes tornadoes. you never know. the cone of uncertainty is called that for a reason, you really never know. decisions have to be made when its clear skies outside. and based upon the modelling that they have, they have to make a decision. >> and thats a risk assess mme thats going to weigh the inconvenience with having deaths and worse. >> southwest florida bracing for hurricane irmas landfall. it is now estimated to come --

A good idea of exactly where the landfall will be. thats where the national weather center has the track for us with the cone of uncertainty and the storm surge. well continue the monitor it for you. this is the beginning. we had our first gusts. that means everything right now, the next couple of days its full press ahead for everything. >> tom, great advice you were giving to all our viewers. let me ask you this. one person was saying to me, why is it taking so long? people are still feeling t...

First responders can no longer respond to emergency calls once those winds reach that tropical storm force. >> mr. mayor, were going to continue checking with you. we appreciate that and hope the folks in port saint lieu see and all over the east are heeding that kind of warning n to take this lightly at all. this is a deadly storm already. the death toll still rising as were finding out more about whats happened in the caribbean. well continue to check in with you in the hours and days ahead. i...

Hours, the conditions are going to deteriorate. this is been some tornadic activity to the north. for the most part, the winds are going to increase, again, from the land to the sea over the next 6-12 hours. once the center passes, thats when the winds are going to blow very strong onshore. thats the greatest concern, is the storm surge that weve seen great loss of life before. shepard: unless it makes a turn, it look like this system head to the east of tam and -- tampa and st. peat. that versu...

Intensity. 130 miles an hour winds. category four hurricane. all right. i was giving you the ul l illustration of how this compares as a category four hurricane. and here is the path that irma took bouncing around along that coast of cuba. we can only imagine what kind of damage that must have been because it was the better part of a day of a category three. but this is hurricane donna. came close to cuba, moved across the florida keys. does that sound familiar? thats just what irma is doing. ho...

As the system moves northward but the big take away is the low-lying areas that could be inundated with a wall of water upwards of 15 meet and -- feet and thats the biggest concern for the region. we had potential for tornadoes and thats ongoing in the duration of the storm well into towards georgia as well as alabama, tennessee, kentucky, the potential of tornadoes, some of these are weak tornadoes but they can cause structural damage and rain rafts. youll see them coming. thats why its dangero...

The west side, punta gorda, wind gusts around 32. what can we expect? there was a shift from our last update from the hurricane center. we were looking at something that perhaps would affect the everglades. right along the coast. but now, there are indications that this is going to pull away from the coast a little bit more. you can see kind of this in the cone, so maybe 15 miles offshore for a while that is until it starts to jut out here, around the sarasota area. inundating these coastal area...

Coming in from the west and that will continue to happen, but for the most part, were really kind of just watching this on a radar image right now because we know the system is breaking down. when you look at the satellite imagery and well continue to watch this, its lost its eye. we no longer can follow it as far as an eye. we know that theres still circulation with that and the continuing track is kind of confusing right now because if you look at the cone of uncertainty here, it almost brings...