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laying the predicate for his broader strategic grievances, particularly around nato in large, obviously, and potentially ukrainian membership in nato, making demands that he knew the united states and other countries could not adhere to, and then even putin s comment that he was going to de-escalate a few days ago, inevitably he would seek to do that before launching a pretext for a potential invasion and it was always going to be the case that we would be entering a really intense period as the biden administration has warned where they would use those conflict regions in eastern ukraine to propagate a series, as they ve done before. this was the kind of pretext they used in georgia in 2008 and crimea in 2014, that russians were somehow threatened, ethnic russians, with genocidal violence. and then, you know, whipping his own media into a frenzy and his own information, warfare systems into a frenzy combined with cyberattacks, that s always the last stage before we see a more signific

The heads of natoUnited statesJoe bidenPresident putinEastern ukraineRepublic of georgiaConflict regionsWarfare systemsMilitary movement