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America Is a Moral Cesspool, and Student Loans Prove It – Investment Watch

If America somehow managed to educate millions of college students without burdening them with $2 trillion in debt in 1993, why is it now ā€œimpossibleā€ to do so, even as America’s wealth and gross national product (GDP) have both rocketed higher over the past 27 years? Predators thrive on Americans’ short memories.Ā Student loans in their present scale did not exist prior to 1994. According to the Federal Reserve FRED database, the student loan balance was zero in 1993. From zero in 1993...
United States Charles Hugh Smith Matt Taibbi Free University Higher Education Cartel Federal Reserve

Big Tech: "Our Terms Have Changed" – Investment Watch

So go ahead and say whatever you want around all your networked devices, but don’t be surprised if bad things start happening. I received another ā€œOur Terms Have Changedā€ email from a Big Tech quasi-monopoly, and for a change I actually read this one.Ā It was a revelation on multiple fronts. I’m reprinting it here for your reading pleasure: We wanted to let you know that we recently updated our Conditions of Use. What hasn’t changed: Your use constitutes your agreement to our Conditio...
United States Charles Hugh Smith Star Chamber National Security Agency Terms Have Big Tech

Here's Why America's Labor-Shortage Will Drive Inflation Higher – Investment Watch

Great swaths of the American workforce are already on strike or slipping away from the dead-end treadmill. America’s labor shortage is complex and doesn’t lend itself to the simplistic expectations favored by media talking heads.Ā The Wall Street cheerleaders extol the virtues of ā€œgetting America back to workā€ which is Wall-Street-speak forĀ  getting back to exploiting workers to maximize corporate profits. Long-term demographics have combined with cultural changes and Covid-Lockdown ep...
United States Security Administration Pew Research Wall Street Baby Boomers Social Security

The $50 Trillion Plundered from Workers by America's Aristocracy Is Trickling Back – Investment Watch

As I often note here, when you push the pendulum to an extreme of wealth and income inequality, it will swing to the opposite extreme minus a tiny bit of friction. The depth of America’s indoctrination can be measured by the unquestioned assumption that Capital should earn 15% every year, rain or shine, while workers are fated to lose ground every year, rain or shine.Ā And if wages should ever start ticking upward even slightly, then the Billionaires’ Apologists are unleashed to shout that ...
United States Charles Hugh Smith Foreign Affairs Billionaire Apologists Income From Americans Have Taken

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Housing Bubble #2: Ready to Pop? – Investment Watch

All debt-fueled speculative bubbles pop, even as cheerleaders claim otherwise. The expansion of Housing Bubble #2 is clearly visible in these two charts of house valuations, courtesy of the St. Louis Federal Reserve database (FRED).Ā The first is the Case-Shiller Index, which as you recall tracks the price of homes on an ā€œapples to applesā€ basis, i.e. it tracks price movements for the same house over time. Note that this is an index chart where the index is set at 100 as of January 2000. It...
New York United States Charles Hugh Smith Los Angeles Bureau Of Labor Statistics Pew Research

The Systemic Risk No One Sees – Investment Watch

The unraveling of social cohesion has consequences. Once social cohesion unravels, the nation unravels. My recent posts have focused on the systemic financial risks created by Federal Reserve policiesĀ that have elevated moral hazard (risks can be taken without consequence) and speculation to levels so extreme that they threaten the stability of the entire financial system. These risks are well known, though largely ignored in the current speculative frenzy. But there is another systemic risk w...
United States Charles Hugh Smith Federal Reserve Farewell Address President Carter Universal Basic Income

The People Have Lost Faith in the State, and the State Has Lost Faith in its People – Investment Watch

Democracy is fundamentally about advocacy:Ā the people are free toĀ  advocateĀ for their interests and form groups to represent their shared interests. In the broadest scope, the people are free to advocate for what they hold as theĀ  common good, policies and programs that benefit the entire populace rather than one special-interest group. Since the state (all levels of government) concentrates wealth and power via taxation and a monopoly on force, groups advocate/lobby the state to recognize ...
United States Charles Hugh Smith Testing Theories American Politics Interest Groups Big Tech

The Only Way to Get Ahead Now Is Crazy-Risky Speculation – Investment Watch

It’s all so pathetic, isn’t it? The only way left to get ahead in America is to leverage up the riskiest gambles. It’s painfully obvious that the only way left to get ahead in America is crazy-risky speculation, but nobody seems to even notice this stark and stunning reality.Ā Why are people piling into crazy-risky bets on speculative vehicles like Gamestop and Dogecoin? The obvious answer is because others have reaped a decade or two of wages in a few weeks, and skimming a couple hundred...
United States Bureau Of Labor Statistics Federal Reserve Wall Street Labor Statistics Corporate America

America's Fatal Synergies – Investment Watch

America’s financial system and state are themselves the problems, yet neither system is capable of recognizing this or unwinding their fatal synergies. why do some systems/states emerge from crises stronger while similar systems/states collapse?Ā Put another way: take two very similar political-social-economic systems/nation-states and two very similar crises, and why does one system not just survive but emerge better adapted while the other system/state fails? The answer lies in what author ...
United States Charles Hugh Smith Geoffrey Parker Fatal Synergies Benign Synergies Global Crisis

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