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March 15, 2023
Follow @MrTopStep and @BretKenwell on Twitter and please share if you find our work valuable.Our ViewBehind the Fed and all the recent noise: JPM calculated CTAs had 300B worth of rate shorts across USTs, Bunds and Gilts & covered two-third. “The past 3 days have seen the greatest short-covering in rates since the pandemic or March
March 8, 2023
Follow @MrTopStep and @BretKenwell on Twitter and please share if you find our work valuable.Our ViewI am not the least bit surprised at how the markets fell yesterday and nor should anyone else. I am not going to repeat what I have said over and over. What I will say is, I had lunch with
February 22, 2023
Topic: Taylor 3-Day Cycle Author: David D Dube (a.k.a. PTGDavid) Website: Polaris Trading Group Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Normal for CD1 as price declined and exceeded the 4033 projected target, plunging down to 4003.50 Statistical Range Extreme (screenshot). Prior range was 75 handles on 1.705M contracts exchanged. …Transition from Cycle Day 1
February 15, 2023
Topic: Taylor 3-Day Cycle Author: David D Dube (a.k.a. PTGDavid) Website: Polaris Trading Group Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Normal CD2 as CPI print gyrated price between TargetMaster's upper and lower statistical 2-Sigma Zones. Session settlement had price trading near the upper 3 Day Cycle Target.(4154). Prior range was 82 handles on 2.316M
February 8, 2023
Topic: Taylor 3-Day Cycle Author: David D Dube (a.k.a. PTGDavid) Website: Polaris Trading Group Prior Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Three-Day Cycle Statistic was fulfilled as price traded above the CD1 Low (4132.50). It was a "Wild Ride Clyde" session as JPOW's speech gave the markets a roller coaster ride, ultimately closing near highs
February 1, 2023
Topic: Taylor 3-Day Cycle Author: David D Dube (a.k.a. PTGDavid) Website: Polaris Trading Group Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Normal CD1 as price declined establishing a new cycle low at 4007.50, which matched closely with projected range low (4015) and TargetMaster Zone (4012 - 4006). Prior range was 84 handles on 1.703M contracts
January 25, 2023
Topic: Taylor 3-Day Cycle Author: David D Dube (a.k.a. PTGDavid) Website: Polaris Trading Group Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Normal CD2 as price consolidated within the expected range outlined (4005 - 4040) in prior DTS 1-24-23 briefing. Prior range was 42 handles which was below average (58) on 1.431M contracts exchanged. …Transition from
January 18, 2023
Topic: Taylor 3-Day Cycle Author: David D Dube (a.k.a. PTGDavid) Website: Polaris Trading Group Prior Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Price rallied surpassing prior high-fulfilling cycle objectives, then the decline began closing in the lower quartile of the day's range. Prior range was 35 handles on 1.227M contracts exchanged. …Transition from Cycle Day 3
January 11, 2023
Topic: Taylor 3 Day Cycle Author: David D Dube’ (a.k.a. PTGDavid) Website: https://polaristradinggroup.com/ Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Normal Cycle Day 1 as price declined establishing a low at 3891.50. Prior range was 52 handles on 1.477M contracts exchanged. …Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2 This leads us into Cycle
January 4, 2023
Topic: Taylor 3-Day Cycle Author: David D Dube’ (a.k.a. PTGDavid) Website: Polaris Trading Group Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Risk-Off was the "continuation-theme" for the start of 2023, as price initially opened with a bid, but quickly relinquished the early strength for persistent selling pressure throughout the session, closing near Mid-VWAP. Prior range