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OP: S&P Sells Off As Dollar Weakens, Walmart Falls Short

Website: Tuesday’s Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1):  This day unfolded as a “normal” Cycle Day 1 as the anticipated decline did unfold, fulfilling the Average Decline Objective of 4122. Program Selling persisted all session and was capped-off with a Market on Close (MOC) Sell Imbalance of $1.3 Billion. Range was 68 handles on 1.249M contracts exchanged.  …Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2 This leads us into Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Normal price action for this cycle day following a...
Davidd Dube Ned Davi Ned Davis Us Bureau Of Labor Statistics Cycle Day Average Decline Objective

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OP: Dow Has Worst Day Since February. Is the High In?

Dow Jones Industrial; Worst Down Day Since February The ES initially rallied on Monday night’s Globex session but opened 31 points lower on yesterday’s 9:30 ET futures open. After the open, the ES rallied up to 4156.25 at 10:03 and then dropped down to 4103.75, a 52.50 point drop in 45 minutes. After the low, the ES ‘ground higher’ — trading 4148.00 at 12:18.  The ES sold off down to a higher low of 4123.75 at 12:57. After a few 10 and 15 point drops and pops, the ES pulled back agai...
Davidd Dube Dow Jones Cycle Day Positive Cycle Statistic Cycle Spreadsheet Classic Fight

OP: Tech Stocks, Janet Yellen Comments Shake the Bond Market, Nasdaq Down 2%

Tuesday’s Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3): This day was referenced as a “wild-card” as cycle objectives had been fulfilled, opening the scenario for a decline unfolding, and it did in fine fashion. Range was 65 handles on 1.963M contracts exchanged.  … This leads us into Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Average CD1 Decline (4136) was fulfilled during the prior session’s decline, leaving today’s question as to retest of HVE (4120) or continuation of the late-day rally to 4157 CD1 Range Objective....
Julian Emanuel Dave Wilson Janet Yellen Davidd Dube Trading Group Cycle Day

OP: Theme-less Market, Ripe with Stock Pickers

Tuesday’s Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Price violated CD1 Low (4141.75) with a continuation trend lower during RTH fulfilling 4115, “down-range” objective. Range was 56.75 handles on 1.661M contracts exchanged.  … This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Price is currently well below CD1 Low (4141.75) and typically has strong odds of recovering this level during Cycle Day 3 trading. Failure to recover would be marked as a “Statistical Cycle Failure” which only occurs 9% of the time...
Davidd Dube Cycle Day Positive Cycle Statistic Cycle Spreadsheet Treasury Bond Soft Commodities

OP: S&P 500 Notches Another New High

Tuesday’s Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Price consolidated throughout the session before pushing higher to All-Time Contract High. Price settled above its Value Area High (4132.25). Range was 38.50 handles on 1.04M contracts exchanged.  … This leads us into Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Normal for CD1 is an expectation of a decline measuring an average of 4088. Volatility Index (VIX) has registered a reading with a 16 handle, as bulls are solidly in control, so any decline may be relatively shallo...
Davidd Dube Liz Ann Sonders David Wilson Bank Earnings On Charles Schwab Corp Cycle Day

OP: S&P Futures Close Lower After Monday's 17th New High

Tuesday’s Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Price only produced a shallow decline (4052.25) during the overnight session, while RTH experienced a bit more confusion on direction after hitting early session highs. Range was 23.75 handles on 1.233M contracts exchanged.  … This leads us into Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Expectation for this cycle day is more consolidation, perhaps with a wider range should volatility increase. Volatility Index (VIX) has been hovering with an 18 handle, which makes for i...
United States Davidd Dube David Wilson Polaris Trading Group Us State Department Trading Group

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