Page 2 - Dan Guild News Today

Dan Guild: Pre-election surveys have consistently underestimated the Democratic margin among Black voters.

Dan Guild: Pre-election surveys have consistently underestimated the Democratic margin among Black voters.

Dan Guild shares key takeaways from the latest poll of Iowa Republicans and puts some numbers in historical perspective.

With links to investigative reporting, analysis, and accountability journalism Bleeding Heartland published first or exclusively in 2022.

Laura Belin: Party leaders might have avoided this outcome if they had addressed problems with the caucus system a long time ago.

Dan Guild: In key states, Democratic candidates are running ahead of Biden's approval rating, and GOP candidates behind his disapproval.

Dan Guild: Polling errors from recent election cycles are causing political reporters to miss a big story about the 2022 campaigns.

A new Selzer poll has Grassley with a lead over Democrat Mike Franken of only 3 points, 46-43.

Dan Guild on the latest Iowa Poll numbers, other recent Senate race surveys, and whether Mike Franken can beat Chuck Grassley.

Dan Guild: Since a landmark Supreme Court ruling on abortion, the generic ballot has shifted, especially among key Democratic-leaning groups.