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arctic blast paralyzed iowa. >> we have record cold weather, snowfall, record everything. >> nobody can forecast what the turnout is going to be. are we in for an iowa surprise? plus, mike in the middle. >> this place is a joke. republ republican threaten to shut down the government. >> weve wasted an entire week. >> if he doesnt show up, i guess well just have to wrap it up without him and assume that these were bribes. >> plus, replacing george santos. >> people are concerned about s...

Campaigns. you can add desa-- we havent s this kind of lead heading into the caucuses like this, a non incumbent candidate. if this is what the results look like monday night, donald trumps going to be well on his way to quashing the competition and moving towards this nomination. >> youre so right. this is finally the time for voters to vote. polls are polls. they are a snapshot in time. voters vote it matters here. just dig deeper in this final poll. about the undecided aspect. who is undecide...

Somewhat of a drag, but i think what you saw there is her not betting on trumps popularity helping her gang busters in that district. i think, look. nationally, how people feel about biden and trump really matters, but in this district, george santos and that legacy really matters and tom is a known name. so i think bouncing these two things is really interesting. is the standing of the two leading national candidates going to be important or are the specifics of that race going to be important?...

Support, its not just the intensity of support inside the republican base, but who the support is coming from. >> which is why we see youre doing so well in new hampshire because independents can play in the primary, but looking at the calendar, has a lot more closed primaries where its dominated by republicans and conservatives than the contests were dominated by moderates and independents. that is nikki haleys math challenge. >> just to dive deeper with nikki haley. about her support. the poll...

>> so theres no question that trump supporters are the most committed so they are perhaps the most likely to turn out. but some of them have to drive the farthest as well. supporters in rural areas. nikki haley is looking for the suburbs. weather now is part oof it but no one has more on the line than florida governor desantis who knows he needs a second place finish here. hes campaigning aggressively here today. >> he says he needs a second place finish. jeff, stay warm, my friend. well talk to...

Nancy pelosi? thats what her allies are arguing. if there is no one to run, you cant beat something with nothing. >> from a very busy basement in the capitol. thank you so much. president trump is questioning why a republican congresswoman was so quick to concede the u.s. senate race in arizona. martha mcsally was praised for the gracious way she conceded to kyrsten sinema. in a daily caller interview, the president suggested that mcsally should have pushed harder. director david chal yon is her...

Poll. but both trail hillary clinton in hypothetical head-to-head matchups and clinton continues to dominate the field of democratic candidates heres where the republican race stands right now. jeb bush is in first place with 19%, followed by donald trump at 12%. theyre the only two republicans, by the way, with double-digit support, at least for now. our cnn political director david chal i dont know is here with us watching whats going on. what do you make of this development? its not a fluke, ...

Former texas governor rick perry. well behind the front runners right now jeb bush and scott walker. but neither of them have officially declared. hes discuss whats going on with our cnn political director david chal onand our national political reporter peter ham by. first of all, david, the decision to announce at liberty university why there? >> its because of the evangelical wing of the party is the one that ted cruz is going to try to own. its a crowded lane in the republican nomination wit...