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Bank of England Preview - Look to Sell GBP on Aggressive BoE Pricing

BoE call. We expect the Bank of England (BoE) to hike the Bank Rate (key policy rate) by 25bp on 22 June, bringing it to 4.75%. This is in line with markets expectations. We expect a slight hawkish shift in communication given the latest releases showing increased persistence in inflation and a tight labour market. However, we do not expect it to live up to market expectations.
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Week Ahead – Brace Yourself (Fed, ECB, NFP, Peak Earnings)

This week will be extremely busy as we have an FOMC decision, the nonfarm payroll report, peak earnings season, all while Wall Street keeps an eye on the banking industry to see if any news stresses arise.  The FOMC meeting is expected to have policymakers deliver one more quarter-point rate rise, possibly leaving the door open for one more. Disinflation trends need to show they are firmly entrenched for the Fed to take their foot off the tightening pedals.
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