A daunting proposition when the weather is going to turn to 97 degrees later this week. To the day,his is, the anniversary of when it happened in 1997. Questions. A lot of in the meantime, it is a quiet morning ahead of the u. S. Open. Some muted price action. Brent crude reaching the highest level since may. German three year yield dipping a basis point. On theg market currency heels of a less bad that expected gdp report from china. David today we mark the beginning of a big week for bank earnings. At 8 00,with citi tomorrow. Y jp morgan we also get retail sales and Industrial Production numbers. Companies Tech Companies face questions on capitol hill. Netflixy, we get earnings. Thursday, gm unveils its own new made engine corvette. In british open begins northern ireland. That is all coming up this week. We are joined today by Gina Martin Adams and damian sassower. Lets start with those china numbers. I will put up a chart that basically shows what happened. It was the lowest on rec
Seeing a little bit of a pause. But if you look at the stocks europe 600, a little bit of poor data out there and the prospect of more dovish appointees to the fed. Im also looking at the with the nomination of Christine Lagarde take over the ecb. All of this with euro area june the services pmis, a touch better than i expected. But pmi in general has been disappointing. The u. S. 10 year yield is below 2 at 1. 95. Overall, quite a big move from yields. This is what is coming up on surveillance. Dont miss our interview with loretta melzer talking inflation and treasuries. First, lets get straight to first word news. Waller and judy shelton are present trumps latest nominations to the Federal Reserve board. Of researchrector and was the professor of economics at the university of notre dame. Shelton is an informal adviser to the president and spent decades outside mainstream economics. Her unorthodox views could attract opposition. The Trump Administration abandoned its hardfought battl
200 points after the jobs report ended the day down just 40 points. Meantime the yield on the tenyear yield jump back above 2 President Trump blasting the fed when speaking to reporters earlier today. Were paying a lot of interest and it is unnecessary, but we dont have a fed that knows what theyre doing so it is one of those little things. But if we had a fed that would lower rates, you would have a rocket ship. So what is the market saying now about what it expects for a potential rate cut this month . Didnt bullard and powell dress down the window for a rate cut last week, or at least going from 50 to 25 basis points i think powell should dress down the window i dont think he should cut. At all . The market thinks he should cut but you have a limited amount of ammo so why not string it out longer wasnt the argument that the fed moved too far . One cut too far. And it was more of an ee quill quill equilibrium cut the question is was good news today bad news for that. If you look at f
The 10 year is that for 24. 48 so it had been up at 425 and now we are down about three basis points. Its a pretty high level and we are up at the kind of levels we havent seen since last year and before that since before the financial crisis. The u. S. Dollar index is off about 1. 5 points. With these very high yields, it draws people into the dollar but they have started to give up some of the gains we have seen in the last few weeks and nymex crude is back up to date dollar per barrel at 81. 40 one cents. Jon i am watching some of the Energy Starts trending higher with oil pushing back higher and one of the big things outside the macro headlines is been the Retail Sector with so many Earnings Reports. We are still seeing a mixed picture from that group. Youve got a name Like Ross Stores with guidance that was crowdpleasing so the shares are up about 5 now but then you got farfetched thats getting crushed, down more than 40 with struggles for the u. S. Business. Dont go to sleep beca
Day as well. Weekly losses for small caps then what the guys were talking about the last hour the atlanta gdp, 5. 8 is what theyre looking at the ten year back higher, all put into the stew of how were supposed to think of where stocks go from here. The question for the viewer is, is the correction in its nature going to be deeper in the sense of what we witnessed in 2022 or similar to 2019 . There are two time periods to guide investors through what i believe will be in 2023. Very obviously you had an adversarial federal reserve, and the market declined from august 16 through october 13 by 19. 6 in the month of august, you oinl had 225 basis points worth of rate hikes you still had another 300 basis points yet to go and an overall down trend for the market now, in 2019, if you study that time frame, the same thing happened, scott. You went through this malaise in q3 from july 26 through october 3. The s p declined 5. 6 . Here is why i believe that 23 core relates to 2019 similar to 20