neil: well, this is it, the first in the nation if primary, and it s in new hampshire. 22 delegates at stake. i want you to think of that for just a second. it takes 1215 delegates to secure the republican nomination. at this rate and if he were to win this state, donald trump might have, well, about 30, 35 dell grates delegates. that s a long way to 1215. but the interesting aspect of this primary and this entire race is the belief that if donald trump does well here, he s all but wrapped up the nomination. for the next two hours, we re going to look at the risk and the reward of that kind of strategy and we remind you that sometimes coming in second here isn t the end of the world. in 1992 that honor went to one bill clinton who was called the comeback kid after scoring a silver again in new hampshire. new hampshire will surprise you. it has a long history of doing just that. a lot of comebacks have been scored here. ronald reagan, after losing iowa in 1980, and then of
24 point drop for mitt romneyea whvise,t single unty in the entire state of minnesota. this is a state he won the last time around. and it probably appropriate for me to mention at this point that mitt romney didn t even come in second in minnesota. mitt romney won it last time. but he came in third this time. rick santorum won, ron paul came in second. mitt romney couldn t beat ron paul in minnesota. if dell grates are awarded in a way that follows the results, rick santorum will get every single one of minnesota s 37 delegates. mitt romney will zero. rick santorum gets them all. mitt romney won this state in 2008. did the entire republican population of minnesota move out of state to be replaced by all new republicans in the last four years? what happened? was there some sort of mass exodus missed by the national media? there is no way this makes sense on its own. i need a minnesota republican to
mitt romney if you look at last night technically did lose three contests. if you discount missouri, just looking at what happened in minnesota alone, is an almost inexplicable disaster. can we put the minnesota slate back up? look at the numbers. 24 point drop for mitt romney from 2008 to this year. which is 17% of the vote, mitt romney did not win a single county in the entire state of minnesota. this is a state he won the last time around. and it probably appropriate for me to mention at this point that mitt romney didn t even come in second in minnesota. mitt romney won it last time. but he came in third this time. rick santorum won, ron paul came in second. mitt romney couldn t beat ron paul in minnesota. if dell grates are awarded in a way that follows the results, rick santorum will get every single one of minnesota s 37 delegates. mitt romney will zero. rick santorum gets them all.
romney did not w sunty in the e minnesota. this is a state he won the last time around. and it probably appropriate for me to mention at this point that mitt romney didn t even come in second in minnesota. mitt romney won it last time. but he came in third this time. rick santorum won, ron paul came in second. mitt romney couldn t beat ron paul in minnesota. if dell grates are awarded in a way that follows the results, rick santorum will get every single one of minnesota s 37 delegates. mitt romney will zero. rick santorum gets them all. mitt romney won this state in 2008. did the entire republican population of minnesota move out of state to be replaced by all new republicans in the last four years? what happened? was there some sort of mass exodus missed by the national media? there is no way this makes sense on its own.