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according to a recent survey, many of the a—bomb survivors don't feel that there will be a meaningful progress, if you like, and the terms of discernment of nuclear weapons after this g7 some it. why do you think there is so much scepticism bear.— you think there is so much scepticism bear. because of the heightened _ scepticism bear. because of the heightened threats _ scepticism bear. because of the heightened threats in _ scepticism bear. because of the heightened threats in europe i heightened threats in europe and east asia. there are increased discussions about nuclear, some of them based on the deterrence theory rather than band, rather than looking straight for the actual abolition. so more and more, also japan is not finding the treaty. so those things are creating a lot of scepticism. as you say, there have been arguments that nuclear

it is a danger to this country. now we're going through a new cycle. and trump is talking about kim jung-un and his private negotiations with him, which are traumatizing his national security team. and trump literally says about kim jung-un and his missiles, well, if he shoots, he shoots. if he shoots he shoots. the whole premise of deterrence theory is it is unthinkable to shoot. that we now have putin talking about it. but here is trump kind of saying, if he shoots he shoots, well, we'll destroy him. i mean, my god, you listen to that and it is the casualness.

Department of Defense Releases its 2022 Strategic Reviews National Defense Strategy, Nuclear Posture Review, and Missile Defense Review

Today, the Department of Defense released the unclassified National Defense Strategy (NDS), Nuclear Posture Review (NPR), and Missile Defense Review (MDR).

potential to dramatically alter the situation. not clear what we would do in response to that. we haven't signaled any clear path of retaliation, which i think is a mistake. one of the mistakes we've consistently made is failing to make clear to putin the scale of the down side to is escalation. we use sanctions as a deterrent. it didn't work. we're not now saying anything about what would happen if he resorts to a nuclear weapon and gives him the impression that we wouldn't do much except more sanctions. that's where deterrence theory not to go. you have to deter him from doing that and right now i don't think we're doing enough. >> bill: austin said yesterday there are is range of options before the president that would give him adequate choices. what those are remains to be seen. it is good to have you on

UC Berkeley political science professor Robert Powell dies

Robert Powell, political science professor whose research primarily focused on conflict and politics in weakly institutionalized states, died Dec. 13. 

It's time to debate the relevance of deterrence

  It is time to debate the relevance of the concept of deterrence in the 21st century, when non-military threats such as climate change, pandemics, cyber, terror and “active measures” may prove more formidable dangers than opposing armies, navies and air forces. Deterrence emerged as a central and simple concept in the Cold War and the nuclear age. The argument was that if the two superpowers maintained enough nuclear capability to destroy the other after being attacked first, war would be suicidal and hence deterred. MAD, for Mutual Assured Destruction , became the operational acronym. Indeed, mutual nuclear annihilation does seem very mad. Two scorpions in a bottle, stinging each other to death, was the image of the MAD age. But suppose one were male; the other female. That possibility was ignored.

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20190202:14:35:00

only arms race. >> john, how real is this schism foreign policy is a place where you can see that dividing line. you're covering washington day in and day out. do you see that dwayne becoming wider? >> yes. and i think bob mueller will have something to do with that, as well. i think there's a discreet issue. it's a limited schism. but there are certain points where the republican in the congress are going to assert themselves. syria is one of them. they did it on russia sanctions after the election in 2017. i just want to add one thing to what michelle and matt were saying. i don't have a sophisticated enough grasp of deterrence theory to know exactly the implications of this, but i know tom nichols of the naval war college has written a piece saying this is a gift to russia