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April 25, 2024
It's the moment you've all been waiting for: Today, 538 launched our interactive polling averages for the 2024 presidential general election. Specifically, as of April 25 at 9 a.m. Eastern, our national polling average shows 40.9 percent of likely voters would support Biden if the election were held today, while 41.6 percent would support Trump. To communicate this, we are also publishing uncertainty intervals for our horse-race averages for the first time.
April 28, 2023
And it ain't Kevin McCarthy.
April 29, 2021
“I told them, what am I supposed to do?” he said. “How are we supposed to make a living? Buy a house and start a family? How?” Like many people interviewed for this article, Mr. Delesbore spends a lot of time online. He is hungry to make sense of the world, but it often seems rigged and it is hard to trust things. He is especially suspicious of how fast the vaccines were developed. He used to work at a factory of the drug company Sanofi, so he knows a bit about the process. He believes ...