Page 1084 - Dynamic News Today

And scott jennings and paul with us. hi, guys, thanks for joining us. >> good evening. >> good evening. so first rule of the table, no predictions. [ laughter ] >> only horse races. >> but i do want to start with the state of play because i think this say bit of a roller coaster of a midterms. paul, ill start with you. tell us what youre seeing out there. what is the dynamic that you think is driving us in these last 48 hours? >> the dynamic changed. right? when seven or eight out of ten america...

People want from their governor. bran campus on a very interesting job in terms of threading his needles with the disputes he had with former president trump and his ability to speak to the people of georgia. we think back to what he did during covid, he opened up the schools very early. he found a way to get people tax rebates. there such an interesting dynamic out there stacey abrams continues to talk about voter suppression with resonates with some voters no doubt in georgia. but if you look ...

Close. if kari lake comes out and says she is the winner and regardless of what is happening and ballots havent been counted, etcetera, are folks in the republican party going to be like wait a minute, this isnt the case? i think you will have a number of these republican candidates come out and declare victory and sow doubt in the system even before we have all of the results in. that is what democrats are preparing for, these election deniers to come out and sow fear in the process as theyre s...

Least two, maybe three of those states where we see a lot more enthusiasm behind the democratic supporters of fetterman in pennsylvania, warnock in georgia, where their supporters are much more likely to say theyre excited and enthusiastic to go out and support them than the republicans who are lagging by about 20 points in enthusiasm in those races. so whether or not that will overcome the larger national dynamic that has enthusiasm about tide among partisans may be a little ledge for republica...

Reminder. you go to the gas station and see the price, the grocery store and you see the price. that tells you, little things like that. these races are so close heading into the final day now that democrats are nervous about anything. >> where is the momentum right now? where do you see it head? >> nationally its with the republicans. if you go right after dobbs, it was with the democrats. if you look at all the data in the last ten days, two weeks, longer than that, its trended back to republi...

Little talon election that people have little >> -- to pay attention to. a lot of people take make up a deal on this big gap or small gap, but the reality is when you have an election that is this close to the margins, we have four states that are basically toss-ups regardless of the seat you are talking about, it tells you, and give you the sense when you see that gap close because remember republicans on the enthusiasm gap to have it tie the week and the poor this election really, for me when ...

Potentially history making in maryland where it could be a first black governor in wes moore. youve got gretchen whitmer potentially doing well there. josh shapiro in pennsylvania, way ahead of his republican opp opponent. so a couple of bright spots, and maybe even a little bit of the a picture of the future of the democratic party if they are in a couple of years of wilderness. >> no doubt about it. and as you were mentioning, this could have an impact down ticket, josh shapiro in pennsylvania...

Senate race in terms of what people want from their governor. bran campus on a very interesting job in terms of threading his needles with the disputes he had with former president trump and his ability to speak to the people of georgia. we think back to what he did during covid, he opened up the schools very early. he found a way to get people tax rebates. there such an interesting dynamic out there stacey abrams continues to talk about voter suppression with resonates with some voters no doubt...

Georgia, that race in georgia has been tight all year. take a look though, the dynamic in georgia is the dynamic right now of potential split ticket voting. something that was supposed to be extinct in our politics. but in the race for governor, you see brian kemp the republican incumbent, hes leading in the poll average by eight points over stacey abrams. hes over 50%, meanwhile, the republican herschel walker in the senate race running nearly five and a half points behind brian kemp. and actua...

Some of the states where democrats are trying to play off events, look at the senate battleground map here. states where democrats are trying to flip republican seats here. lets look at it from the other angle, look at democrats are most vulnerable here. georgia, that race in georgia has been tight all year. take a look though, the dynamic in georgia is the dynamic right now of potential split ticket voting. something that was supposed to be extinct in our politics. but in the race for governor,...