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September 15, 2021
Like massachusetts and maryland, both with republican governors. charlie baker and larry hogan are the governors of those states. but david, theyre not insane. theyre not saying more covid. covid in your schools. theyre not -- theyre not pushing covid. so the divided government argument in my mind wont work for republicans this time around. do you agree? >> by the way, joy, any republican whos been responsible in the pandemic is at great risk of losing a primary. thats where we are. >> that too....
September 15, 2021
Contrast that with republicans who were not. it seems like democrats can make that case with whats happening in texas and florida and you know florida well, there are covid cases that are skyrocketing there and things are not getting better any time soon. healthcare will be on the ballot but really the pandemic will be on the ballot of a dynamic that played out. a few weeks left, the numbers at that point is not looking promising for newsom and all of a sudden whether or not latino voters have b...
September 15, 2021
Are really starting to lay down those markers. look, its degrading i think by the day, the trump effect. but of course it hasnt gone away. but nights like tonight hopefully continue to degrade it. for the sake of the country, absolutely. but as a republican hopefully it degrades it so we can get back to opportunities to advance forward and win and broaden our coalition of voters in this country. >> yeah. you know, the dynamic, though, is the one that you cant win unless you get nominated and rep...
September 15, 2021
Percentage right now than did it back this 2018. i dont want to focus on that. the main dynamic early on is in the yes or no question. what will happen. so here you go. you start to see it fill in. around san jose as well of lets look at the one where we have our first yes. our first of californias 58 counties where at least the early votes are coming in yes. again, this is 48th of the 58 counties in terms of population. so it is very important for recall supporters for this to be red in terms o...
September 15, 2021
Improve on in california. there are things we need to get right whether dealing with wildfires, homelessness, these kind of messages will resume. remember when gavin newsom the only reason hes facing a recall election because millions of californians, democrats, republicans came together to ask for this recall election to happen here that similar dynamic will remain next year and very important for democrats not to overplay their hand there although it is possible that they will. >> trace: when ...
September 15, 2021
In 2022? we saw here that running against trumpism was very easy in a democratic state. well see how that plays out in these house races, in the other governor races as well. >> very different dynamic. >> we are waiting to hear from dr. gavin newsom. well bring those comments to you live. what lessons are clear at this point? >> california is behaving politically the way it is drawn. the map is coming through. do i caution this is a blowout and the number probably shrink. we know from last years...
September 15, 2021
We knew that this meeting happened, but woodward and costa have the details of the conversation. and just to give you the setting, the two men are in the oval office, and they can hear the maga, the trump supporters out on the street on pennsylvania avenue, laughing, shouting support. and trump repeatedly pressures pence to do something that is unconstitutional. it is just a fascinating dynamic between the two of them that then woodward and costa report, continues the next day where he calls aga...
September 15, 2021
Come to a head in the next few weeks. will they give republicans in the senate a veto over that or will joe man clin and kyrsten sinema allow them to reform the filibuster in a way that allows them to pass this? no more consequential decision over any of the policies they face through the 2022 election. >> but we look at larry elder as a candidate, hes a climate change denier, he opposes gun reform, hes against the minimum wage, he says he wouldnt have voted for the civil rights act. he opposes ...
September 14, 2021
Politicians, all those folks around the election that doesnt work. >> it feels like they know that this is slipping away because, dont get me, wrong they are very serious issues to talk about. many issues that weve talked about. before in california you have the greatest economic inequality. covid is in the state is particularly horrible. while driven by climate change. are raging here. and our former democrats are tuned into -- president of united states turned up other vents like the one that ...
September 14, 2021
Like 60%. its gotta be at least 60%, hes gotta be at least 60% support. and you could just look at that, if biden won at 53.4 to get at 60%, a lot of people have voted for biden, a lot of democratic voters have got to support the sting. so thats the big challenge recall supporters. and if youre trying to do this at the blue states of the. country >> steve let me ask you about one other dynamic that must be hard to model, and must be hard to get quantitative about, because still relatively new ph...