Christine lagarde, president of the ecb, moderated by Francine Lacqua. Francine what a great pleasure to be here with Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central bank, and welcome to the forum here at bloomberg. Everyone is talking about the vaccine. How will that actually change your forecast and the economy if we do get a vaccine early next year . Ms. Lagarde it is lovely to see you and to participate. To your question, i am not sure it is going to be a major game changer for our forecast, simply because what we had anticipated in our baseline was that some stage in the first half of 2021, there would be a vaccine, and that it would be rolled out in the course of 2021. So it might be a little back celebrated a little bit accelerated given the news we are receiving from the various horizons, germany, the u. S. , but i dont think it is going to be a game changer, so to speak. I think that our forecast is being revisited all those times we speak, and we will be releasing on dec
Tech and bond trades play out. Lets dig a little deeper into the virus story in the u. S. U. S. Infectious disease official Anthony Fauci says it wont be a pandemic a lot longer because of vaccine progress. Joining us now with more is bloomberg Senior Editor drew armstrong. We all want to have the monday where we were very happy about the Pfizer Biontech results. What if the state of play in the u. S. . Drew the state of play in the u. S. Is brutal. We are sitting case records because of uncontrolled spread in huge amounts of the u. S. Hospitalizations are higher than they have been at any point during the pandemic. During thet pandemic. Depend on who you ask, 1500 sorry, 1506 to two deaths in the u. S. Yesterday, a number we havent seen since the early days of the pandemic. Numberout every single or way you look at this that you can is going in the wrong direction right now, and newman the hospitalizations and knowing that hospitalizations after that, it is going to be a grizzly pictu
Changing condition. Futures point higher in sydney and tokyo. The yen holding back. Almost everybody is softbank thinks the group taking a Group Private is a bad idea. We will look about the chances of such moves actually happening. Lets take a look at how we are kicking off trading in sydney. It is a public holiday. But we do still have the cash 4 in thep about 0. First two minutes. This comes on a busy week for australian traders. The budget where we are expecting to see assumptions made about a vaccine becoming available and we are also getting a report that is trillion is set to further lift that that australia is such a for the lift that debt ceiling with 4 billion u. S. Dollars with the debt ceiling being lifted higher to 1. 1 trillion. Looking at the aussie dollar ahead of the all be a. We are expecting no change. Markets are significantly pricing and now another rate cut. Before the end of the year. Dollar trading at 71. 67. In new zealand, two weeks out from the election. Kiwi
Does october start most interesting. As you well know, the president of the United States at walter reed hospital. He has been tweeting actively this morning, almost as much as jon ferro. In the markets, i would say weve got a bit of a celebration. Futures up 21, dow futures up 184. What do you make of the markets this morning . Jonathan a strong correlation between the president s health, his tweeting activity, and equity markets. We hope we avoided the local crisis, the chaos that many people were thinking about last friday. Up 0. 6 on the s p. In the bond market, this is where things get interesting for treasuries headed into election day. If the polling remains the way the polling looks right now, at a national level, the 14 point lead joe biden at the moment, at some point you do start to think about prices in the fiscal stuff. The key risk at the moment, i am catching up with Henry Peabody a little later tom on one of your other properties. Jonathan his view is that the risk the
This is bloomberg surveillance. Im Francine Lacqua in london. Lets go straight to the markets. We are seeing a lift to the market somewhat but a bit flattered then what it was earlier on. 0. 4 . Oxx 600, down by the dollar is rising. Treasuries advancing. We had a little bit of momentum. We saw that historic rally. The dollar strengthening for the first day in nine sessions. The Federal Reserve extended its main Street Lending program which means it is allowing more companies to participate. That lessens the burden on banks that create the loans. Plenty more on that throughout the day. Thats get to the first word news in london with dani burger. Dani hi. Lockdowns across the world may have prevented about a half a billion coronavirus infection. That is according to the first peerreviewed analysis of the impact of health policy. It comes as the World Health Organization says people without symptoms passing on the virus is very rare which contradict speculation about the prevalence of so