Page 44 - Electorates News Today

Like other mid term electorates. if thats the case, the democrats are not in good shape. if you think they will look like the electorates in the special election, that republicans are in deep trouble and none of this will matter. its all baked in the cake. democrats are energized. they will come out. republicans are less energized and well see what were going to see. >> thats what i wonder. show the president here, heres a tweet. hes saying jobs not mobs. i guess thats the nod to the economy on ...

Women in the big question is will they go to the polls? >> thats a $64,000 question. midterms, you always see a drop off in voters and the question is the enthusiasm democrats have displayed over the past 21 months, grassroots events, does that carry over to election day? if the numbers mike talked about are correct and that gap translates into presidential level turnout among women of color, among young women, among suburban women, it will be to the democrats advantage but what you just asked i...

Take a listen. senate seat or two, the >> i dont think that helps move democrats will pick up 25 or 30 house seats. but my instinct, somehow is that the ball at all. i mean youve got to remember this is temporary and that the hes been sued by avenatti and a wave resumes, the gender gap is bunch of people, so hes -- he massive, the democrats have to knows hes a street fighter, but expand the electorate. you could have lost a lot of its also the president. money betting on the ability to and i jus...

Whats changed now, the conservatives are fired up. let me give you three numbers on why thats so important. 32, 42, 37. >> seriously. all right. >> in 2006, his last-minute ter term, and the conservatives were 32%, a very low number. a year later, 42% of the electorates were conservative. republicans won the house and the biggest midterm sweep of 40 years. 37% of the electorate was identified at the conservative. the point being, if conservatives sit at home and set out the election and the way ...

Much going to be decided in red states like west virginia, north dakota, indiana, missouri, where there are conservative electorates, but democratic incumbents. in the house, this is about suburban districts, which went for hillary clinton. those districts could react to this negatively and swing against the republicans, while this could prove to be a difficult thing like heidi in north dakota and joe manchin in west virginia, who, by the way, are the only two democrats who have not said how the...

It up there. we would compare that to say, wisconsin, where cot scott walker is sinking under the waves a little bit out there after several almost miraculous wins out there. the sledding is getting tough for him. that race is moving the other way for republican and that goes to a toss-up for scott walker. >> dana: there are some other ones that were not such great news for republicans. governor races also you are talking about hawaii is now a likely d and then iowa as well? >> well, something t...

All right. welcome back to meet the midterms. were going to take a look now. of course that allegation of sexual assault roiling the brett kavanaugh confirmation process. the politics of the confirmation vote, if there is going to be a confirmation vote in the end in the senate, of course this has huge significance for the midterm. right now democrats with 49 seats in the senate. republicans at 51. and we have spent so much time before these allegation hit, talking about the democrats who at thi...

This is really an effort to aim squarely at some of these voters that are moderate republicans, maybe convincible independents. the theory being, those individuals are the ones who are going to swing the election in november. the challenge with the theory, of course, is midterm electorates traditionally have been base electorates. it is about getting out the republican base or the democratic base. this appeal really is something that, i think, will energize democrats, yes, but also republicans. ...

>> lon hi, we should say something here that when 44 got elected, 43 did the usual classy president thing and said im going to coop my silence and hang back and enjoy retirement. im quite certain that 44, in criticizing 45, it was not an easy decision for him. what else did you find notable today? >> it could not have been an easy decision because it was clearly not something -- it was a break with tradition. i thought the other thing that was interesting was how aggressively president obama tie...

Of course, is midterm electorates traditionally have been base electorates. it is about getting out the republican base or the democratic base. this appeal really is something that, i think, will energize democrats, yes, but also republicans. again, the idea is they can get enough independent support, maybe they can win in the marginal districts. >> jonathan, obama could not make the difference for hillary clinton in 2016. we may well learn that there were other factors at work. obviously, a mid...