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December 29, 2015
Voters will head to the polls on february 9th. trump has more than double the support of his second rival. chris christie, jeb bush and kasich are going all in on new hampshire. in one of them or rubio can consolidate enough establishment support, they have a chance to take trump down. the problem is they are splitting the establishment vote which is why each is trying to cast himself as the one and only true trump alternative. >> what would you like to say to him should he walk into the room ri...
December 22, 2015
With it. i like to be in the back. i cant imagine anyone believes that if you are looking for a commander and chief ha has isis to con teneld with and aggressive china to contend with. that has an aggressive china and putin to con tend with im not sure leading from behind. we gave president obama a hard time for saying he want to leave from behind. what people want is they want confidence can. thats what they like will trump. there is plenty of stuff not to like about trump. i understand why peo...
December 21, 2015
Blessing and coalesce that establishment vote behind him. >> thank you, sir. we will see how this turns out. we go back now to the issue of donald trump and this new battle thats brewing between the gop frontrunner and the democratic frontrunner thats all been heating up today. at the top of the show, you heard from donald trump on the "today" show demanding this apology from hillary clinton. heres what led to the demand. >> we also need to make sure that the really discriminatory messages that ...
December 2, 2015
Rubio who has now got into second place. donald trump is at 27%. thats up from the last time quinnipiac did this poll at the beginning of november. as you see, the other headline is that jeb bush is far down in the pack at 5%. how big of a deal is all of this, michael? >> i think its a very big deal because as jeff points out were at t minus two months. i tabulate the maverick vote and i tabulate the establishment vote. lets add up donald trump and ben carson and throw ted cruz into that mix. yo...
November 12, 2015
The mainstream because they are senators. theyre not outsiders, to be there if and when carson and trump collapse. jon: cruz seems to be taking a shot, molly, at marco rubios former support for the so-called gang of eight immigration bill which he now says was a mistake. is that going to be an achilles heel for marco rubio? >> oh, absolutely. one of the interesting things about that that debate the other night was that we started to see cruz figure out his path to the nomination. so he understan...
November 11, 2015
Credentials where hes competing with carson and probably cruz. rubio, the intriguing who had kind of, i thought, an okay debate. he was lucky as maggie noted to be exempted from this conversation. rubio is someone who is potentially acceptable to a big chunk of that establishment vote but not as noxious for the outsiders as, say, kasich and bush would be. but i do think you saw kasich putting his cards on the table. the identity he sketched out in the last debate, he really etched much more deep...
November 3, 2015
That we didnt see in 2012 with some fof the herman cain, michelmichele bachma bachmann, you have the anti-establishment vote which is about 50% of the gop vote right now. and on the other side, you have the so-called establishment candidates, jeb bush, marco rubio, maybe carly fiorina, john kasich, chris christie, they are fracturing the establishment vote and so none of them are able to get any sort of foothold and that lends itself to ben carson and donald trump continuing to be very strong. >...
October 21, 2015
Again, to go back to what al said. carson is now the alternative to trump for a lot of voters. again, across demographic groups particularly in iowa where hes doing better than trump is now overall monamongst the evangelicals. jumps support is not confined to one single group. to see, the interesting thing is where is the establishment vote. to be short, trump is getting some of it. its basically missing. theres not one candidate showing strength. bushs numbers arent inflated because of the adve...
October 15, 2015
Kasich, rubio, bush. im sensing issues with all of them. >> there are issues with all of them. like mark said, you see trump in front, then ben carson in second. carly fiorina and then the establishment vote is split several different ways. its quite interesting because in the past when it comes to campaign advertisement, usually, you campaign to get on top. now, its more of a sign that anything that your campaign is in trouble, that youre spending or the super pac is spending all of the money o...
August 7, 2015
And alex costolas. thanks for being here this morning. i appreciate it. ill begin with you, alex. how do you suppose republican voters will take donald trumps challenge? >> most of them will not be thrilled tha take off his jersey his teams jersey and put on the other teams jersey in the middle of the game. with his core vote and base and the vote he has now, they will be fine with. that they wont have a problem. it probably wont change his poll numbers very much. he is a protest candidate. his ...