become given the rhetoric on both sides of rice s role and described the benghazi attack. the president making it clear by name lindsey graham and john mccain are outrageous going after her because in his words they may think she s an easy target and this will continue 0 and on the taxes, as well. he is making it very clear that the american people support his view of raising taxes on wealthy americans. he pointed to exit poll numbers and more people support his tax idea than actually voted for him. voted for him. we do have that sound regarding ambassador rice. let s play it, please. let me say specifically about susan rice. she has done exemplary work. she has represented the united states and our interests in the united nations with skill and professionalism and toughness and grace. as i ve said before, she made an
not clear. bret: what you are looking at most in the next half hour? we will have ohio closing here at 7:30. i m going to be looking at florida numbers and going to be looking at virginia numbers in line with megyn s question because virginia tends to report fairly early. those polls close at 7:00 p.m. they have got a pretty fast system in many things. i think that northern virginia vote which is the democratic or was in 2008, the democratic bassian for barack obama won t come in until fairly late. bret: just to explain it for folks taking the exit poll numbers and comparing it with the raw vote total that comes in and saying what s the difference between these two and calculating where the exit poll was wrong? yeah. and our experts on the decision desk are doing some things sta tisz particularly similar analogous to that. they are finding the w.p.e. bret: we re getting in the weeds here. basically the difference, the discrepancy between how
on this for a longtime. mitt romney in the meantime has got even to be the guy at the end at least that is talking about the bigger things, he s talking about the future of the country, he s talking about change, and obama used to be the change candidate. so the roles are to some extent reversed. jenna: going back on your experience covering different presidential campaigns, you ll be sitting and watching with with us tonight for our election special at 6:00pm, what have you learned over the years, are there any tips you can give us. reporter: be ware of the early exit poll numbers. they were terribly off in 2004. and i remember so vividly i was anchoring that night in 2004 and we went down to the meeting at 5:15 in the afternoon when the first cut of the exit polls had come in and we re all sitting around the table listening for john gorman who was the head of our polling operation at the time he looked at the exit poll numbers and said the undecideds have broken for john kerry and
small state like new hampshire. come on back as you do that. we want to put up the exit poll numbers from 2008 that showed the senior vote. this is something you wrote about in a column this week, mccain has that eight-point advantage over president obama back in 2008 and senator obama. it shows you medicare, florida, if he can cut into that number, it could be the end of the election. right. over 65 have become a very big part of the base of the republican party. we forget, these aren t the only dealers who have gone on, this is a more conservative generation. i was talking to an organizer in north carolina where i was last week who said, look, we don t have to carry that vote, it s a democratic organizer. if we can cut the republican advantage among seniors about, say two or three points, it becomes very hard to beat obama. and by the way, in north carolina, or mccain had a 13-point advantage among seniors. so medicare is one of those issues that allows obama
florida, the most medicare sensitive state. let me let you in on how to follow this. here are the electoral numbers. what these numbers stand for, 237 electoral votes are in states we think are already leaning in the obama column. 191 electoral votes lean in the romney column. we have nine toss-up states. four in the atlantic coast here. three in the midwest, and two out west. but i want to show you the power of florida in this battle ground. if the president is able to ride medicare to florida, look at this, his 237 goes to 266. he s four short. you just give him new hampshire where he was yesterday. romney can win everything else, north carolina, virginia, ohio, wisconsin, iowa, colorado, nevada, and look at that. he s two short. this is the power of medicare, and the power of the state of florida, and this is why you take florida out of the romney column, and he needs to do a clean sweep of the rest of the battlegrounds, including every small state like new hampshire. come on back