the double lock system has historically proven to be very faithful to the whole principle security. good. so we also hear these things out there that maybe the obama administration doing well in early voting. can anyone see my vote before election day or is that all just sort of conjecture looking at exit polling. people can take a look at is when the vote was the date the vote was cast and secondly the party registration. so it s all, you know, conjecture, informed speculations as to how the vote might be trending. finally can anyone determine how early voting is leaning one way or the other? i mean, sort of goes with the last question? it goes with the last question. look, at the end of the day, early voting is to give us a much more effective way of managing a very hectic day.
in that small group that will end up deciding the election. and the final deciders, they re going to make up their minds in the final week. and we know this from exit polling. that, by the way, just to remind everybody is why these campaigns are so expensive. they re so expensive because the best way to reach those voters by 30 second television ads stuck into the most popular tv shows on tv. that s where you find this kind of voter. you don t find them watching news tv. you don t find them watching what we re doing. it s very important after these speeches that everyone does as much of a fact check as we can do in every one of these speeches as fast as we can. but i don t want people thinking that that fact checked argument is somehow going to be able to carry the day when you get into the place where we are now in this election. this is way too close an election. and the democrats are going to have to be able to come back with very quick punches that land more effectively than the
basically who controls it and the alternating theories. i think, i think there s a lot of evidence of this, the party has moved to the right and the party has moved to the right in ways that there is ways you can track the score of house votes and also if you look at exit polling. i was pouring through exit polling last night the past few elections and ideological in the last few elections, republicans have won conservatives by large margins and they ve lost and they lost moderates. self-described moderates by proportions. there has been a real shift in that. there s more self-identified conservatives and there are self-identified liberals in the country, which is why they can still lose elections, but you said something interesting before we went to the break, which is, the base is not going to be controlling things in a mitt romney
the gap of women with 47%. but that was an increase from 53% president of president bush in 2000. you went through a bunch of polls. that s a lot of quinipiac polls. they are run in combination with cbs and new york times, whose methodology makes them more democrat. i would rather look at the nation as a whole because, you know, individual states will be one way or the other greta: even if the polls are mistaken by 5 points even if they are democratic polls and they are mistaken by 5, the margins are huge margins. remember, if you looked at the men s vote, you would see the mirror opposite for romney. here s the point. in 2008, in the exit polling, barack obama won the women s vote by 13 points.
the gap of women with 47%. but that was an increase from 53% president of president bush in 2000. you went through a bunch of polls. that s a lot of quinipiac polls. they are run in combination with cbs and new york times, whose methodology makes them more democrat. i would rather look at the nation as a whole because, you know, individual states will be one way or the other greta: even if the polls are mistaken by 5 points even if they are democratic polls and they are mistaken by 5, the margins are huge margins. remember, if you looked at the men s vote, you would see the mirror opposite for romney. here s the point. in 2008, in the exit polling, barack obama won thevote by 13 .