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Incumbents do better than they ought to due to the opposition failing to unify sufficienlty against their main target.

United statesVincent ponsFrancesco ferlengaCaroline lepennecVestal mcintyreKevin danoVincenzo galassoEconomics university of californiaYale universityEconomic researchFaculty research fellow national bureauEconomics brown universityProfessor harvard business schoolProfessor of economics bocconi universityEconomic growth center at yale universityResearch fellow centre for economic policy