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August 23, 2019
Maybe the ecp is lowering their rates. but we can grow at 3% instead of 2%. >> is the u.s. economy slowing today? >> well, we went from 3% in q1 to 2% in q2. >> so it is. >> but the reason why it slowed based on my read of the data is its pure federal reserve raising rates too fast. the fed cannot be raising rates when every central bank in the rest of the world is lowering their rates. that only leads to a widespread between interest rates between us and them and this thing called a carry trade...
February 5, 2018
Four digits to the left of the decimal, but its still 4%. we dont see it a lot in our days, diane, but you and i have seen a 4 in front of a percentage loss in our lives several times. >> unfortunately, we have. weve known each other a long time. >> yes. >> so youre saying orderly. that unless this looks disorderly -- and by the way, if it looks disorderly, itll probably be contagious. in other words, well start to see this bleed into other markets and well have some feeling around the world tha...
December 1, 2015
Morning. it is the first day of december. a great deal for investors to tackle this month. beginning with the jobs report on friday. last report before the fed makes a decision on interest rates. the consensus it is likely to raise rates. nearly every jobs indicator has been improving. even the under employment rate. especially for college graduates. it is now just 6.2%. compared to 10.2% during the recession. the analysis shows tales of college educated baristas is rarer. the college degree is ...
December 1, 2015
Your money. first day of a new month. u.s. stock futures are up with a great deal for investors this month. beginning with the latest jobs report on friday. the final report before the fed makes a decision on interest rates. consensus is the fed is likely to raise rates this month for the first time in a decade. nearly every jobs indicator has been improving. now just 6.2% compared with 10.2% unemployment during the recession. the tales of college educated baristas, tales are rarer by the day....
August 13, 2011
know now is are we getting into another recession now? >> no. i submitted my forecast to the various polls last week and said no, the economy would grow faster in the second half, things will get better. are there perils? of course. >> those with money who dont need credit or who have the ability to get credit can really do well in this economy and those without jobs at the bottom, with tough credit, are excused for thinking that things are bad. >> absolutely. if you dont have a job, i...